Labour’s sharp decline in national polls—to the low-to-mid 20s—and heavy losses in the May 2026 local, Scottish, and Welsh elections have raised the prospect of an early general election, though Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion to set the date before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Reform UK’s strong showing in those contests and ongoing leadership speculation within Labour add volatility that could prompt a snap vote if by-election results or economic pressures intensify. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to a mid-2027 call, viewing a 2026 dissolution as unlikely absent a sudden crisis while still pricing in meaningful probability for an earlier reset than the full five-year term.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWybory w Wielkiej Brytanii zwołane przez...?
Wybory w Wielkiej Brytanii zwołane przez...?
$819,866 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
15%
June 30, 2027
31%
$819,866 Wol.
December 31, 2026
$24,753 Wol.
15%
June 30, 2027
$3,965 Wol.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Labour’s sharp decline in national polls—to the low-to-mid 20s—and heavy losses in the May 2026 local, Scottish, and Welsh elections have raised the prospect of an early general election, though Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion to set the date before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Reform UK’s strong showing in those contests and ongoing leadership speculation within Labour add volatility that could prompt a snap vote if by-election results or economic pressures intensify. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to a mid-2027 call, viewing a 2026 dissolution as unlikely absent a sudden crisis while still pricing in meaningful probability for an earlier reset than the full five-year term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$819,866Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2025Rynek otwarty
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Labour’s sharp decline in national polls—to the low-to-mid 20s—and heavy losses in the May 2026 local, Scottish, and Welsh elections have raised the prospect of an early general election, though Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion to set the date before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Reform UK’s strong showing in those contests and ongoing leadership speculation within Labour add volatility that could prompt a snap vote if by-election results or economic pressures intensify. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to a mid-2027 call, viewing a 2026 dissolution as unlikely absent a sudden crisis while still pricing in meaningful probability for an earlier reset than the full five-year term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$819,866Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2025Rynek otwarty
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Labour’s sharp decline in national polls—to the low-to-mid 20s—and heavy losses in the May 2026 local, Scottish, and Welsh elections have raised the prospect of an early general election, though Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion to set the date before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Reform UK’s strong showing in those contests and ongoing leadership speculation within Labour add volatility that could prompt a snap vote if by-election results or economic pressures intensify. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to a mid-2027 call, viewing a 2026 dissolution as unlikely absent a sudden crisis while still pricing in meaningful probability for an earlier reset than the full five-year term.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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