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Polityka·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

icon for Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
Polityka·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

Zack Polanski 24%

Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%

Georgia Gould 21%

Adam Harrison 9%

Polymarket
NOWE

Zack Polanski 24%

Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%

Georgia Gould 21%

Adam Harrison 9%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Zack Polanski

Zack Polanski

$604 Wol.

43%

icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$118 Wol.

24%

icon for Georgia Gould

Georgia Gould

$60 Wol.

21%

icon for Adam Harrison

Adam Harrison

$60 Wol.

9%

icon for Sarah Hayward

Sarah Hayward

$60 Wol.

9%

icon for Lorna Jane Russell

Lorna Jane Russell

$60 Wol.

8%

icon for Pat Callaghan

Pat Callaghan

$60 Wol.

6%

icon for Hamza Chowdhury

Hamza Chowdhury

$80 Wol.

18%

icon for Luisa Porritt

Luisa Porritt

$60 Wol.

6%

icon for James White

James White

$60 Wol.

6%

icon for Keith Moffitt

Keith Moffitt

$60 Wol.

6%

icon for Richard Olszewski

Richard Olszewski

$60 Wol.

5%

icon for David Roberts

David Roberts

$60 Wol.

5%

icon for Oliver Cooper

Oliver Cooper

$60 Wol.

5%

icon for Tricia Leman

Tricia Leman

$60 Wol.

5%

icon for Sarah Pochin

Sarah Pochin

$60 Wol.

4%

icon for David Stansell

David Stansell

$60 Wol.

4%

icon for Jim Monahan

Jim Monahan

$60 Wol.

3%

icon for Mehreen Malik

Mehreen Malik

$60 Wol.

25%

icon for Gio Spinella

Gio Spinella

$60 Wol.

17%

icon for Charlie Clinton

Charlie Clinton

$60 Wol.

1%

icon for Siân Berry

Siân Berry

$47 Wol.

28%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Sir Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election, with Labour’s candidate selection process only beginning on September 1 and due to conclude September 9. This timing, combined with no writ yet moved and nominations not open, has produced highly fragmented trader pricing across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, Siân Berry, and various independents. Local 2026 Camden results showing strengthened Green support, the constituency’s progressive electorate, and the precedent of a strong left-wing independent performance in 2024 keep probabilities tightly bunched until confirmed nominees and a polling date emerge.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Wolumen
$1,930
Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Sir Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election, with Labour’s candidate selection process only beginning on September 1 and due to conclude September 9. This timing, combined with no writ yet moved and nominations not open, has produced highly fragmented trader pricing across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, Siân Berry, and various independents. Local 2026 Camden results showing strengthened Green support, the constituency’s progressive electorate, and the precedent of a strong left-wing independent performance in 2024 keep probabilities tightly bunched until confirmed nominees and a polling date emerge.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Wolumen
$1,930
Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 22 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Zack Polanski" z 43%, za nim "Siân Berry" z 28%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 43¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 43% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Sep 1, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner", przeglądaj 22 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" jest "Zack Polanski" z 43%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 43% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Siân Berry" z 28%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.