**Nigel Farage triggered and won the Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 after resigning his seat in early July to face a parliamentary standards investigation over his finances.** He secured re-election as the Reform UK MP with 63.3% of the vote on a 44% turnout, defeating novelty candidate Count Binface (26.9%) amid a boycott by major parties and a record 34-candidate ballot. With the seat now filled again just days before the current date, no procedural triggers, health issues, or fresh announcements point to an imminent further vacancy. The ongoing investigation has resumed without producing immediate consequences that would force another resignation, and historical patterns show MPs rarely trigger repeated by-elections in the same year absent major new developments. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an additional contest before the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnother Clacton by-election called in 2026?
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
28% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
28% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Nigel Farage triggered and won the Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 after resigning his seat in early July to face a parliamentary standards investigation over his finances.** He secured re-election as the Reform UK MP with 63.3% of the vote on a 44% turnout, defeating novelty candidate Count Binface (26.9%) amid a boycott by major parties and a record 34-candidate ballot.
With the seat now filled again just days before the current date, no procedural triggers, health issues, or fresh announcements point to an imminent further vacancy. The ongoing investigation has resumed without producing immediate consequences that would force another resignation, and historical patterns show MPs rarely trigger repeated by-elections in the same year absent major new developments. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an additional contest before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$1Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Nigel Farage triggered and won the Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 after resigning his seat in early July to face a parliamentary standards investigation over his finances.** He secured re-election as the Reform UK MP with 63.3% of the vote on a 44% turnout, defeating novelty candidate Count Binface (26.9%) amid a boycott by major parties and a record 34-candidate ballot.
With the seat now filled again just days before the current date, no procedural triggers, health issues, or fresh announcements point to an imminent further vacancy. The ongoing investigation has resumed without producing immediate consequences that would force another resignation, and historical patterns show MPs rarely trigger repeated by-elections in the same year absent major new developments. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an additional contest before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$1Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Nigel Farage triggered and won the Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 after resigning his seat in early July to face a parliamentary standards investigation over his finances.** He secured re-election as the Reform UK MP with 63.3% of the vote on a 44% turnout, defeating novelty candidate Count Binface (26.9%) amid a boycott by major parties and a record 34-candidate ballot. With the seat now filled again just days before the current date, no procedural triggers, health issues, or fresh announcements point to an imminent further vacancy. The ongoing investigation has resumed without producing immediate consequences that would force another resignation, and historical patterns show MPs rarely trigger repeated by-elections in the same year absent major new developments. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an additional contest before the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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