Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her BSP backing and strong second-choice support from voters aligned with former President Rumen Radev, whose Progressive Bulgaria party secured a parliamentary majority in the April 19 snap legislative vote. This landslide victory ended years of coalition instability, enhancing the bloc's momentum amid public opposition to EU military aid for Ukraine. Potential challengers like Nikolai Denkov of We Continue the Change–Democratic Bulgaria (12%) and Rosen Zhelyazkov of GERB (4.5%) lag, as their coalitions have yet to nominate officially, with primaries pending; Boyko Borissov and Vassil Terziev have declined candidacies. The two-round runoff system favors frontrunners, though late endorsements or scandals could shift dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBulgaria Presidential Election
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova 60%
Vassil Terziev 17.6%
Nikolai Denkov 12%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%
$100,528 Wol.
$100,528 Wol.

Iliana Iotova
60%

Vassil Terziev
18%

Nikolai Denkov
12%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
5%

Boyko Borissov
4%

Blagomir Kotsev
<1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Iliana Iotova 60%
Vassil Terziev 17.6%
Nikolai Denkov 12%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%
$100,528 Wol.
$100,528 Wol.

Iliana Iotova
60%

Vassil Terziev
18%

Nikolai Denkov
12%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
5%

Boyko Borissov
4%

Blagomir Kotsev
<1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her BSP backing and strong second-choice support from voters aligned with former President Rumen Radev, whose Progressive Bulgaria party secured a parliamentary majority in the April 19 snap legislative vote. This landslide victory ended years of coalition instability, enhancing the bloc's momentum amid public opposition to EU military aid for Ukraine. Potential challengers like Nikolai Denkov of We Continue the Change–Democratic Bulgaria (12%) and Rosen Zhelyazkov of GERB (4.5%) lag, as their coalitions have yet to nominate officially, with primaries pending; Boyko Borissov and Vassil Terziev have declined candidacies. The two-round runoff system favors frontrunners, though late endorsements or scandals could shift dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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