United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant incumbent, holding roughly 310 seats after 2021. Recent opinion polls from state-affiliated firms show the party list support holding in the low-to-mid 40s percent range, while preparations including multi-day voting, primaries, and constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories are expected to bolster single-member district results. Trader consensus clusters on 325–354 seats because historical patterns of administrative resources, limited opposition viability, and turnout management point to a comfortable constitutional majority without the supermajority margins seen previously. No major late shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 19.1%
355+ 12%
$184,629 Wol.
$184,629 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<280
4%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
12%
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 19.1%
355+ 12%
$184,629 Wol.
$184,629 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<280
$26,766 Wol.
4%
280–294
$16,666 Wol.
4%
295–309
$11,877 Wol.
7%
310–324
$14,888 Wol.
19%
325–339
$27,776 Wol.
35%
340–354
$48,646 Wol.
23%
355+
$38,009 Wol.
12%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant incumbent, holding roughly 310 seats after 2021. Recent opinion polls from state-affiliated firms show the party list support holding in the low-to-mid 40s percent range, while preparations including multi-day voting, primaries, and constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories are expected to bolster single-member district results. Trader consensus clusters on 325–354 seats because historical patterns of administrative resources, limited opposition viability, and turnout management point to a comfortable constitutional majority without the supermajority margins seen previously. No major late shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$184,629Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant incumbent, holding roughly 310 seats after 2021. Recent opinion polls from state-affiliated firms show the party list support holding in the low-to-mid 40s percent range, while preparations including multi-day voting, primaries, and constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories are expected to bolster single-member district results. Trader consensus clusters on 325–354 seats because historical patterns of administrative resources, limited opposition viability, and turnout management point to a comfortable constitutional majority without the supermajority margins seen previously. No major late shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$184,629Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant incumbent, holding roughly 310 seats after 2021. Recent opinion polls from state-affiliated firms show the party list support holding in the low-to-mid 40s percent range, while preparations including multi-day voting, primaries, and constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories are expected to bolster single-member district results. Trader consensus clusters on 325–354 seats because historical patterns of administrative resources, limited opposition viability, and turnout management point to a comfortable constitutional majority without the supermajority margins seen previously. No major late shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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