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Polityka·Russia

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

icon for How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
Polityka·Russia

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

340–354 32%

310–324 24.3%

355+ 20%

325–339 17%

Polymarket

$24,534 Wol.

340–354 32%

310–324 24.3%

355+ 20%

325–339 17%

Polymarket

$24,534 Wol.

<280

$6,278 Wol.

8%

280–294

$2,828 Wol.

7%

295–309

$1,601 Wol.

13%

310–324

$1,426 Wol.

24%

325–339

$1,963 Wol.

17%

340–354

$1,499 Wol.

32%

355+

$8,939 Wol.

20%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's ruling party, backed by administrative resources and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system, underpins trader expectations for a substantial seat haul in the September 2026 State Duma election. Recent polls from VCIOM and FOM place its support between 33% and 43%, down from 2021 levels yet still sufficient for a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats when paired with systemic opposition fragmentation. Preparations, including Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list and emphasis on wartime stability, reinforce continuity, while variables such as turnout mobilization, electronic voting expansion, and modest gains by parties like the CPRF or New People create the narrow spread across 310–354 seat ranges. No single recent development has produced decisive separation, leaving probabilities clustered as campaign dynamics and regional outcomes unfold.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$24,534
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's ruling party, backed by administrative resources and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system, underpins trader expectations for a substantial seat haul in the September 2026 State Duma election. Recent polls from VCIOM and FOM place its support between 33% and 43%, down from 2021 levels yet still sufficient for a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats when paired with systemic opposition fragmentation. Preparations, including Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list and emphasis on wartime stability, reinforce continuity, while variables such as turnout mobilization, electronic voting expansion, and modest gains by parties like the CPRF or New People create the narrow spread across 310–354 seat ranges. No single recent development has produced decisive separation, leaving probabilities clustered as campaign dynamics and regional outcomes unfold.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$24,534
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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"How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "340–354" z 32%, za nim "310–324" z 24%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 32¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 32% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?" wygenerował $24.5K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jan 7, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?" jest "340–354" z 32%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 32% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "310–324" z 24%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.