Recent developments highlight a tight balance for Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election turnout. War fatigue, declining approval ratings for United Russia and President Putin, economic pressures including fuel shortages, and public anxiety have fostered voter apathy, prompting the Kremlin to lower internal targets to around 50% and intensify corporate mobilization of state employees and loyal firms. These efforts, alongside multi-day voting and expanded electronic options, build on the 2021 precedent near 52% and support trader focus on the 50–56% bands. Outcomes could diverge based on mobilization scale, regional electronic participation rates, or any late shifts in economic conditions or security developments within the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 32%
53-56% 29.4%
59-62% 10.5%
47-50% 11%
$54,312 Wol.
$54,312 Wol.
<47%
2%
47-50%
11%
50-53%
32%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
50-53% 32%
53-56% 29.4%
59-62% 10.5%
47-50% 11%
$54,312 Wol.
$54,312 Wol.
<47%
2%
47-50%
11%
50-53%
32%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments highlight a tight balance for Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election turnout. War fatigue, declining approval ratings for United Russia and President Putin, economic pressures including fuel shortages, and public anxiety have fostered voter apathy, prompting the Kremlin to lower internal targets to around 50% and intensify corporate mobilization of state employees and loyal firms. These efforts, alongside multi-day voting and expanded electronic options, build on the 2021 precedent near 52% and support trader focus on the 50–56% bands. Outcomes could diverge based on mobilization scale, regional electronic participation rates, or any late shifts in economic conditions or security developments within the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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