Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma elections occur amid lowered Kremlin turnout targets, now centered near 50 percent after earlier benchmarks of 55 percent were scaled back amid war fatigue, fuel shortages, and cross-border strikes. Administrative mobilization through public-sector employers and mid-level “mobilizers” aims to meet this floor, while multi-day voting and limited electronic options in select regions seek to ease participation without broad promotion. Recent state polls show stable but subdued interest, with high undecided and abstention shares, and minimal federal media coverage has kept the campaign low-profile. These offsetting pressures—organized turnout drives versus underlying apathy—anchor trader probabilities tightly between the 50–53 percent and 53–56 percent bands. Shifts in conflict intensity, mobilization shortfalls, or last-minute procedural changes could widen the range before voting concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 32%
53-56% 29.5%
47-50% 11%
59-62% 10.5%
$54,312 Wol.
$54,312 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
2%
47-50%
11%
50-53%
32%
53-56%
30%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
50-53% 32%
53-56% 29.5%
47-50% 11%
59-62% 10.5%
$54,312 Wol.
$54,312 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
$2,385 Wol.
2%
47-50%
$6,452 Wol.
11%
50-53%
$5,437 Wol.
32%
53-56%
$3,387 Wol.
30%
56-59%
$6,521 Wol.
10%
59-62%
$5,458 Wol.
11%
62%+
$24,674 Wol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma elections occur amid lowered Kremlin turnout targets, now centered near 50 percent after earlier benchmarks of 55 percent were scaled back amid war fatigue, fuel shortages, and cross-border strikes. Administrative mobilization through public-sector employers and mid-level “mobilizers” aims to meet this floor, while multi-day voting and limited electronic options in select regions seek to ease participation without broad promotion. Recent state polls show stable but subdued interest, with high undecided and abstention shares, and minimal federal media coverage has kept the campaign low-profile. These offsetting pressures—organized turnout drives versus underlying apathy—anchor trader probabilities tightly between the 50–53 percent and 53–56 percent bands. Shifts in conflict intensity, mobilization shortfalls, or last-minute procedural changes could widen the range before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$54,312Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma elections occur amid lowered Kremlin turnout targets, now centered near 50 percent after earlier benchmarks of 55 percent were scaled back amid war fatigue, fuel shortages, and cross-border strikes. Administrative mobilization through public-sector employers and mid-level “mobilizers” aims to meet this floor, while multi-day voting and limited electronic options in select regions seek to ease participation without broad promotion. Recent state polls show stable but subdued interest, with high undecided and abstention shares, and minimal federal media coverage has kept the campaign low-profile. These offsetting pressures—organized turnout drives versus underlying apathy—anchor trader probabilities tightly between the 50–53 percent and 53–56 percent bands. Shifts in conflict intensity, mobilization shortfalls, or last-minute procedural changes could widen the range before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Wolumen
$54,312Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma elections occur amid lowered Kremlin turnout targets, now centered near 50 percent after earlier benchmarks of 55 percent were scaled back amid war fatigue, fuel shortages, and cross-border strikes. Administrative mobilization through public-sector employers and mid-level “mobilizers” aims to meet this floor, while multi-day voting and limited electronic options in select regions seek to ease participation without broad promotion. Recent state polls show stable but subdued interest, with high undecided and abstention shares, and minimal federal media coverage has kept the campaign low-profile. These offsetting pressures—organized turnout drives versus underlying apathy—anchor trader probabilities tightly between the 50–53 percent and 53–56 percent bands. Shifts in conflict intensity, mobilization shortfalls, or last-minute procedural changes could widen the range before voting concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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