Renan Santos, the Mission Party nominee and MBL co-founder, sits in low single digits in recent national first-round polling for Brazil’s October 4, 2026 presidential election, reflecting a polarized contest dominated by incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Surveys from August and September, including Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and BTG/Nexus, place him between 3% and 4%, with occasional higher readings in specific scenarios or among younger voters. His candidacy was unanimously validated by the TSE in mid-September after an earlier temporary suspension over reporting issues, allowing resumption of advertising and fund access. Limited name recognition outside activist circles, competition from other centre-right figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Augusto Cury, and structural challenges for a new party with minimal congressional presence continue to constrain broader momentum ahead of the vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2-4% 37%
4-6% 27%
8%+ 16%
<2% 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
<2%
8%
2-4%
37%
4-6%
27%
6-8%
13%
8%+
16%
2-4% 37%
4-6% 27%
8%+ 16%
<2% 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
<2%
$289 Wol.
8%
2-4%
$650 Wol.
37%
4-6%
$403 Wol.
27%
6-8%
$272 Wol.
13%
8%+
$1,613 Wol.
16%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos, the Mission Party nominee and MBL co-founder, sits in low single digits in recent national first-round polling for Brazil’s October 4, 2026 presidential election, reflecting a polarized contest dominated by incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Surveys from August and September, including Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and BTG/Nexus, place him between 3% and 4%, with occasional higher readings in specific scenarios or among younger voters. His candidacy was unanimously validated by the TSE in mid-September after an earlier temporary suspension over reporting issues, allowing resumption of advertising and fund access. Limited name recognition outside activist circles, competition from other centre-right figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Augusto Cury, and structural challenges for a new party with minimal congressional presence continue to constrain broader momentum ahead of the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,227Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos, the Mission Party nominee and MBL co-founder, sits in low single digits in recent national first-round polling for Brazil’s October 4, 2026 presidential election, reflecting a polarized contest dominated by incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Surveys from August and September, including Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and BTG/Nexus, place him between 3% and 4%, with occasional higher readings in specific scenarios or among younger voters. His candidacy was unanimously validated by the TSE in mid-September after an earlier temporary suspension over reporting issues, allowing resumption of advertising and fund access. Limited name recognition outside activist circles, competition from other centre-right figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Augusto Cury, and structural challenges for a new party with minimal congressional presence continue to constrain broader momentum ahead of the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$3,227Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Renan Santos, the Mission Party nominee and MBL co-founder, sits in low single digits in recent national first-round polling for Brazil’s October 4, 2026 presidential election, reflecting a polarized contest dominated by incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Surveys from August and September, including Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData, and BTG/Nexus, place him between 3% and 4%, with occasional higher readings in specific scenarios or among younger voters. His candidacy was unanimously validated by the TSE in mid-September after an earlier temporary suspension over reporting issues, allowing resumption of advertising and fund access. Limited name recognition outside activist circles, competition from other centre-right figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Augusto Cury, and structural challenges for a new party with minimal congressional presence continue to constrain broader momentum ahead of the vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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