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Wybory·Main Election

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul
Wybory·Main Election

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro 46%

Lula 43%

Pablo Marçal 38%

Ronaldo Caiado 38%

Polymarket
NOWE

Flavio Bolsonaro 46%

Lula 43%

Pablo Marçal 38%

Ronaldo Caiado 38%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$0 Wol.

46%

icon for Lula

Lula

$0 Wol.

43%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$70 Wol.

38%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$68 Wol.

38%

icon for Zema

Zema

$66 Wol.

38%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$65 Wol.

35%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$70 Wol.

35%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$70 Wol.

35%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$69 Wol.

35%

icon for Samara

Samara

$70 Wol.

35%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$0 Wol.

27%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$70 Wol.

9%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$70 Wol.

8%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent nominations and campaign launches have intensified competition in Rio Grande do Sul ahead of the October 4 first round, with right-leaning contenders including Renan Santos of the Missão party, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Flávio Bolsonaro drawing support from overlapping voter bases amid ongoing national polarization between incumbent Lula and the Liberal Party ticket. Santos has publicly challenged Bolsonaro over party affiliation processes and positioned himself as an alternative focused on fiscal restraint and anti-corruption measures, while state-level concerns such as infrastructure and public security further fragment preferences. National polls reflect a split field with no candidate exceeding low-to-mid 40s percent, keeping implied probabilities for first place in the state tightly contested and sensitive to upcoming regional debates or shifts in turnout among key demographics.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$688
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent nominations and campaign launches have intensified competition in Rio Grande do Sul ahead of the October 4 first round, with right-leaning contenders including Renan Santos of the Missão party, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Flávio Bolsonaro drawing support from overlapping voter bases amid ongoing national polarization between incumbent Lula and the Liberal Party ticket. Santos has publicly challenged Bolsonaro over party affiliation processes and positioned himself as an alternative focused on fiscal restraint and anti-corruption measures, while state-level concerns such as infrastructure and public security further fragment preferences. National polls reflect a split field with no candidate exceeding low-to-mid 40s percent, keeping implied probabilities for first place in the state tightly contested and sensitive to upcoming regional debates or shifts in turnout among key demographics.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$688
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 13 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Flavio Bolsonaro" z 46%, za nim "Lula" z 43%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 46¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 46% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 17, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul", przeglądaj 13 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" jest "Flavio Bolsonaro" z 46%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 46% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Lula" z 43%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.