Megan Degenfelder leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary due to her early high-profile endorsement from former President Trump in January 2026, bolstered by recent backing from U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman on April 20 and a surge of legislative endorsements following the session's end in March, giving her strong name recognition as state Superintendent of Public Instruction. Incumbent Gov. Mark Gordon's April 16 confirmation of term limits opened the field, but a fragmented challenger slate—including state Sen. Eric Barlow at 15% with his House leadership experience and retired Col. Brent Bien at 3% after securing Wyoming Right to Life's April 30 nod—splits the opposition vote. Wyoming GOP's May 4 vote to defy state law on pre-primary endorsements has divided candidates, with filing deadline May 29 ahead of the August 18 primary potentially consolidating or altering dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMegan Degenfelder 71.4%
Eric Barlow 19.0%
Brent Bien 2.9%
Chuck Gray 1.1%
$52,231 Wol.
$52,231 Wol.
Megan Degenfelder
71%
Eric Barlow
19%
Brent Bien
3%
Chuck Gray
1%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
Megan Degenfelder 71.4%
Eric Barlow 19.0%
Brent Bien 2.9%
Chuck Gray 1.1%
$52,231 Wol.
$52,231 Wol.
Megan Degenfelder
71%
Eric Barlow
19%
Brent Bien
3%
Chuck Gray
1%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Megan Degenfelder leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary due to her early high-profile endorsement from former President Trump in January 2026, bolstered by recent backing from U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman on April 20 and a surge of legislative endorsements following the session's end in March, giving her strong name recognition as state Superintendent of Public Instruction. Incumbent Gov. Mark Gordon's April 16 confirmation of term limits opened the field, but a fragmented challenger slate—including state Sen. Eric Barlow at 15% with his House leadership experience and retired Col. Brent Bien at 3% after securing Wyoming Right to Life's April 30 nod—splits the opposition vote. Wyoming GOP's May 4 vote to defy state law on pre-primary endorsements has divided candidates, with filing deadline May 29 ahead of the August 18 primary potentially consolidating or altering dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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