Lula holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability of finishing first in Piauí during the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting the state's entrenched position as a Northeast stronghold for the Workers' Party and its candidates. Historical voting patterns show overwhelming support for Lula in the region tied to social welfare programs and party infrastructure, with recent national polling and his August campaign launch reinforcing continuity in these areas. Minor candidates and right-leaning options trail far behind, consistent with limited regional traction. While late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, Piauí's structural alignment with Lula's base makes such reversals improbable under current conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLula 78%
Edmilson Costa 24%
Samara 24%
Hertz Dias 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
78%
Edmilson Costa
24%
Samara
24%
Hertz Dias
22%
Flavio Bolsonaro
22%
Clariana Barao
16%
Rui Costa Pimenta
15%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
15%
Ronaldo Caiado
14%
Pablo Marçal
7%
Renan Santos
7%
Escritor Augusto Cury
5%
Zema
5%
Lula 78%
Edmilson Costa 24%
Samara 24%
Hertz Dias 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$279 Wol.
78%
Edmilson Costa
$5 Wol.
24%
Samara
$5 Wol.
24%
Hertz Dias
$5 Wol.
22%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$75 Wol.
22%
Clariana Barao
$75 Wol.
16%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$5 Wol.
15%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$5 Wol.
15%
Ronaldo Caiado
$5 Wol.
14%
Pablo Marçal
$75 Wol.
7%
Renan Santos
$76 Wol.
7%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$79 Wol.
5%
Zema
$75 Wol.
5%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability of finishing first in Piauí during the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting the state's entrenched position as a Northeast stronghold for the Workers' Party and its candidates. Historical voting patterns show overwhelming support for Lula in the region tied to social welfare programs and party infrastructure, with recent national polling and his August campaign launch reinforcing continuity in these areas. Minor candidates and right-leaning options trail far behind, consistent with limited regional traction. While late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, Piauí's structural alignment with Lula's base makes such reversals improbable under current conditions.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Wolumen
$764Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability of finishing first in Piauí during the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting the state's entrenched position as a Northeast stronghold for the Workers' Party and its candidates. Historical voting patterns show overwhelming support for Lula in the region tied to social welfare programs and party infrastructure, with recent national polling and his August campaign launch reinforcing continuity in these areas. Minor candidates and right-leaning options trail far behind, consistent with limited regional traction. While late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, Piauí's structural alignment with Lula's base makes such reversals improbable under current conditions.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$764Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability of finishing first in Piauí during the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting the state's entrenched position as a Northeast stronghold for the Workers' Party and its candidates. Historical voting patterns show overwhelming support for Lula in the region tied to social welfare programs and party infrastructure, with recent national polling and his August campaign launch reinforcing continuity in these areas. Minor candidates and right-leaning options trail far behind, consistent with limited regional traction. While late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, Piauí's structural alignment with Lula's base makes such reversals improbable under current conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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