Eduardo Paes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around 93%, due to his consistent polling advantages of 34-60% in first-round and runoff scenarios, name recognition from multiple terms as mayor, and broad coalition-building efforts under the PSD ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent convention formalization of his candidacy and the absence of comparably strong challengers such as Wilson Witzel or Anthony Garotinho have reinforced this position. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-breaking scandals, health events, significant shifts in legislative alliances, or an unexpectedly strong debate performance by an opponent that narrows the gap before voters decide.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEduardo Paes 93.5%
Douglas Ruas 3.3%
Colonel Busnello 3.1%
Anthony Garotinho <1%
$291,020 Wol.
$291,020 Wol.
Eduardo Paes
94%
Douglas Ruas
3%
Colonel Busnello
3%
Anthony Garotinho
1%
Rafa Luz
1%
Felipe Curi
<1%
Fred Pacheco
<1%
Tarcísio Motta
<1%
Wilson Witzel
<1%
Lindbergh Farias
<1%
André Ceciliano
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
<1%
Chico Machado
<1%
Eduardo Pazuello
<1%
Nicola Miccione
<1%
André Português
<1%
Eduardo Paes 93.5%
Douglas Ruas 3.3%
Colonel Busnello 3.1%
Anthony Garotinho <1%
$291,020 Wol.
$291,020 Wol.
Eduardo Paes
94%
Douglas Ruas
3%
Colonel Busnello
3%
Anthony Garotinho
1%
Rafa Luz
1%
Felipe Curi
<1%
Fred Pacheco
<1%
Tarcísio Motta
<1%
Wilson Witzel
<1%
Lindbergh Farias
<1%
André Ceciliano
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
<1%
Chico Machado
<1%
Eduardo Pazuello
<1%
Nicola Miccione
<1%
André Português
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around 93%, due to his consistent polling advantages of 34-60% in first-round and runoff scenarios, name recognition from multiple terms as mayor, and broad coalition-building efforts under the PSD ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent convention formalization of his candidacy and the absence of comparably strong challengers such as Wilson Witzel or Anthony Garotinho have reinforced this position. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-breaking scandals, health events, significant shifts in legislative alliances, or an unexpectedly strong debate performance by an opponent that narrows the gap before voters decide.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania