Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLucas Ribeiro 83%
Efraim Filho 9%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%
$62,668 Wol.
$62,668 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
83%
Efraim Filho
9%
Cícero Lucena
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 83%
Efraim Filho 9%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%
$62,668 Wol.
$62,668 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,684 Wol.
83%
Efraim Filho
$14,308 Wol.
9%
Cícero Lucena
$20,569 Wol.
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
$899 Wol.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$881 Wol.
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,436 Wol.
1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,511 Wol.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,381 Wol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Wolumen
$62,668Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$62,668Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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