Jorginho Mello holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina governor race due to repeated polling showing him at 50-56% in first-round scenarios across multiple institutes, often sufficient for outright victory, bolstered by his incumbency since 2023 and recent official confirmation as the PL candidate with Novo alliance support. Traders price his re-election prospects at 92.5% because surveys from mid-2026, including those by Neokemp, IPC, and Atlas, consistently place challengers like João Rodrigues well behind, reflecting broad voter consolidation around the incumbent amid stable state conditions. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, turnout changes in key regions, or unforeseen economic pressures before the October vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJorginho Mello 93%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 5.8%
João Rodrigues 1.9%
Gelson Merisio <1%
$107,312 Wol.
$107,312 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jorginho Mello
93%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
6%
João Rodrigues
2%
Gelson Merisio
1%
Adriano Silva
<1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Jorginho Mello 93%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 5.8%
João Rodrigues 1.9%
Gelson Merisio <1%
$107,312 Wol.
$107,312 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jorginho Mello
$24,103 Wol.
93%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$14,416 Wol.
6%
João Rodrigues
$1,793 Wol.
2%
Gelson Merisio
$1,203 Wol.
1%
Adriano Silva
$929 Wol.
<1%
Marcos Vieira
$1,130 Wol.
<1%
Décio Lima
$62,778 Wol.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$1,090 Wol.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina governor race due to repeated polling showing him at 50-56% in first-round scenarios across multiple institutes, often sufficient for outright victory, bolstered by his incumbency since 2023 and recent official confirmation as the PL candidate with Novo alliance support. Traders price his re-election prospects at 92.5% because surveys from mid-2026, including those by Neokemp, IPC, and Atlas, consistently place challengers like João Rodrigues well behind, reflecting broad voter consolidation around the incumbent amid stable state conditions. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, turnout changes in key regions, or unforeseen economic pressures before the October vote.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$107,312Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina governor race due to repeated polling showing him at 50-56% in first-round scenarios across multiple institutes, often sufficient for outright victory, bolstered by his incumbency since 2023 and recent official confirmation as the PL candidate with Novo alliance support. Traders price his re-election prospects at 92.5% because surveys from mid-2026, including those by Neokemp, IPC, and Atlas, consistently place challengers like João Rodrigues well behind, reflecting broad voter consolidation around the incumbent amid stable state conditions. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, turnout changes in key regions, or unforeseen economic pressures before the October vote.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$107,312Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina governor race due to repeated polling showing him at 50-56% in first-round scenarios across multiple institutes, often sufficient for outright victory, bolstered by his incumbency since 2023 and recent official confirmation as the PL candidate with Novo alliance support. Traders price his re-election prospects at 92.5% because surveys from mid-2026, including those by Neokemp, IPC, and Atlas, consistently place challengers like João Rodrigues well behind, reflecting broad voter consolidation around the incumbent amid stable state conditions. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, turnout changes in key regions, or unforeseen economic pressures before the October vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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