Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls from Veritá, Neokemp, and others showing him above 50% in first-round scenarios and well ahead of rivals such as João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merisio. Trader consensus reflects his status as the sitting governor elected with over 70% in 2022, recent PSDB endorsement consolidating right-leaning support, and consistent polling strength tied to state economic and security priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. A two-round system applies if no candidate reaches 50% initially. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in opposition coalitions or turnout patterns among conservative voters, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on his position.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJorginho Mello 91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 6%
Afrânio Boppré 2.7%
João Rodrigues 2.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jorginho Mello
91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
6%
Afrânio Boppré
3%
João Rodrigues
2%
Adriano Silva
1%
Décio Lima
1%
Gelson Merisio
1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Jorginho Mello 91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 6%
Afrânio Boppré 2.7%
João Rodrigues 2.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jorginho Mello
$4,931 Wol.
91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$1,051 Wol.
6%
Afrânio Boppré
$445 Wol.
3%
João Rodrigues
$365 Wol.
2%
Adriano Silva
$403 Wol.
1%
Décio Lima
$511 Wol.
1%
Gelson Merisio
$542 Wol.
1%
Marcos Vieira
$461 Wol.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls from Veritá, Neokemp, and others showing him above 50% in first-round scenarios and well ahead of rivals such as João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merisio. Trader consensus reflects his status as the sitting governor elected with over 70% in 2022, recent PSDB endorsement consolidating right-leaning support, and consistent polling strength tied to state economic and security priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. A two-round system applies if no candidate reaches 50% initially. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in opposition coalitions or turnout patterns among conservative voters, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on his position.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,667Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls from Veritá, Neokemp, and others showing him above 50% in first-round scenarios and well ahead of rivals such as João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merisio. Trader consensus reflects his status as the sitting governor elected with over 70% in 2022, recent PSDB endorsement consolidating right-leaning support, and consistent polling strength tied to state economic and security priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. A two-round system applies if no candidate reaches 50% initially. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in opposition coalitions or turnout patterns among conservative voters, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on his position.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$8,667Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls from Veritá, Neokemp, and others showing him above 50% in first-round scenarios and well ahead of rivals such as João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merisio. Trader consensus reflects his status as the sitting governor elected with over 70% in 2022, recent PSDB endorsement consolidating right-leaning support, and consistent polling strength tied to state economic and security priorities ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. A two-round system applies if no candidate reaches 50% initially. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in opposition coalitions or turnout patterns among conservative voters, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on his position.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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