Recent polls in Tocantins show President Lula (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) essentially tied for first place in first-round voting intentions, with each hovering around 36-40 percent amid margins of error. This narrow contest reflects the state's mixed electorate, where Lula's incumbency and PT organizational strength compete against Flávio's appeal as the leading conservative contender and the Bolsonaro family's regional support. Lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury remain well behind, limiting their near-term impact on the top spot. Trader consensus prices near parity capture this balance, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaigning, turnout shifts among rural and urban voters, or any late national developments affecting candidate visibility before the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlavio Bolsonaro 44%
Lula 40%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$23,812 Wol.
$23,812 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
49%
Lula
45%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 44%
Lula 40%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$23,812 Wol.
$23,812 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$11,341 Wol.
49%
Lula
$6,345 Wol.
45%
Clariana Barao
$558 Wol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$542 Wol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$575 Wol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$342 Wol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,256 Wol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$406 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$438 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$601 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$432 Wol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$527 Wol.
<1%
Zema
$448 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls in Tocantins show President Lula (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) essentially tied for first place in first-round voting intentions, with each hovering around 36-40 percent amid margins of error. This narrow contest reflects the state's mixed electorate, where Lula's incumbency and PT organizational strength compete against Flávio's appeal as the leading conservative contender and the Bolsonaro family's regional support. Lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury remain well behind, limiting their near-term impact on the top spot. Trader consensus prices near parity capture this balance, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaigning, turnout shifts among rural and urban voters, or any late national developments affecting candidate visibility before the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,812Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls in Tocantins show President Lula (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) essentially tied for first place in first-round voting intentions, with each hovering around 36-40 percent amid margins of error. This narrow contest reflects the state's mixed electorate, where Lula's incumbency and PT organizational strength compete against Flávio's appeal as the leading conservative contender and the Bolsonaro family's regional support. Lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury remain well behind, limiting their near-term impact on the top spot. Trader consensus prices near parity capture this balance, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaigning, turnout shifts among rural and urban voters, or any late national developments affecting candidate visibility before the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$23,812Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in Tocantins show President Lula (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) essentially tied for first place in first-round voting intentions, with each hovering around 36-40 percent amid margins of error. This narrow contest reflects the state's mixed electorate, where Lula's incumbency and PT organizational strength compete against Flávio's appeal as the leading conservative contender and the Bolsonaro family's regional support. Lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury remain well behind, limiting their near-term impact on the top spot. Trader consensus prices near parity capture this balance, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaigning, turnout shifts among rural and urban voters, or any late national developments affecting candidate visibility before the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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