Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-September shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 53.7% support in Paraná’s first-round presidential vote, well ahead of Lula at 34% and all other candidates below 5%. This aligns with the state’s consistent right-leaning electorate, where Jair Bolsonaro secured a large margin in 2022. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Flávio reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive challengers in recent surveys. Potential shifts could arise from late national campaign developments, changes in turnout among key voting blocs, or stronger-than-expected performances by candidates such as Romeu Zema or Ronaldo Caiado, though current data indicate limited scope for such movement before the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Lula 1.8%
Renan Santos <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$11,574 Wol.
$11,574 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Lula
2%
Renan Santos
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Zema
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Lula 1.8%
Renan Santos <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$11,574 Wol.
$11,574 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$4,097 Wol.
97%
Lula
$507 Wol.
2%
Renan Santos
$499 Wol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$689 Wol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$566 Wol.
1%
Zema
$673 Wol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$610 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$660 Wol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$698 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$687 Wol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$558 Wol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$697 Wol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$635 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-September shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 53.7% support in Paraná’s first-round presidential vote, well ahead of Lula at 34% and all other candidates below 5%. This aligns with the state’s consistent right-leaning electorate, where Jair Bolsonaro secured a large margin in 2022. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Flávio reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive challengers in recent surveys. Potential shifts could arise from late national campaign developments, changes in turnout among key voting blocs, or stronger-than-expected performances by candidates such as Romeu Zema or Ronaldo Caiado, though current data indicate limited scope for such movement before the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,574Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-September shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 53.7% support in Paraná’s first-round presidential vote, well ahead of Lula at 34% and all other candidates below 5%. This aligns with the state’s consistent right-leaning electorate, where Jair Bolsonaro secured a large margin in 2022. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Flávio reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive challengers in recent surveys. Potential shifts could arise from late national campaign developments, changes in turnout among key voting blocs, or stronger-than-expected performances by candidates such as Romeu Zema or Ronaldo Caiado, though current data indicate limited scope for such movement before the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$11,574Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-September shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 53.7% support in Paraná’s first-round presidential vote, well ahead of Lula at 34% and all other candidates below 5%. This aligns with the state’s consistent right-leaning electorate, where Jair Bolsonaro secured a large margin in 2022. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Flávio reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive challengers in recent surveys. Potential shifts could arise from late national campaign developments, changes in turnout among key voting blocs, or stronger-than-expected performances by candidates such as Romeu Zema or Ronaldo Caiado, though current data indicate limited scope for such movement before the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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