Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

icon for Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

24% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
24% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington voters will decide Initiative 645 on November 3, 2026, after the measure to repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million qualified for the ballot in July following submission of more than 500,000 signatures. Governor Bob Ferguson signed the underlying legislation in March, directing projected annual revenue exceeding $3 billion toward K-12 education, higher education, healthcare, and related services starting in 2029. Organized opposition from the governor, labor groups, and allied campaigns has highlighted these funding links on the ballot, while repeal backers argue the tax risks broader income taxation and economic effects. Ongoing legal challenges to the tax and ballot language continue, yet trader pricing aligns with historical voter patterns on revenue measures in the state and the strength of the coordinated defense effort ahead of the general election.

Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Wolumen
$60
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington voters will decide Initiative 645 on November 3, 2026, after the measure to repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million qualified for the ballot in July following submission of more than 500,000 signatures. Governor Bob Ferguson signed the underlying legislation in March, directing projected annual revenue exceeding $3 billion toward K-12 education, higher education, healthcare, and related services starting in 2029. Organized opposition from the governor, labor groups, and allied campaigns has highlighted these funding links on the ballot, while repeal backers argue the tax risks broader income taxation and economic effects. Ongoing legal challenges to the tax and ballot language continue, yet trader pricing aligns with historical voter patterns on revenue measures in the state and the strength of the coordinated defense effort ahead of the general election.

Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Wolumen
$60
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 24% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 24¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 24% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Sep 17, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?" to 24% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 24% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.