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Polityka·Rumunia

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Polityka·Rumunia

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Alexandru Nazare 47.5%

Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%

Radu Burnete 6.9%

Ilie Bolojan 4.0%

Polymarket

$3,332,249 Wol.

Alexandru Nazare 47.5%

Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%

Radu Burnete 6.9%

Ilie Bolojan 4.0%

Polymarket

$3,332,249 Wol.

icon for Alexandru Nazare

Alexandru Nazare

$224,168 Wol.

48%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$439,868 Wol.

23%

icon for Radu Burnete

Radu Burnete

$98,923 Wol.

7%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$168,085 Wol.

4%

icon for Siegfried Mureșan

Siegfried Mureșan

$11,043 Wol.

2%

icon for Eugen Tomac

Eugen Tomac

$260,843 Wol.

2%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$47,773 Wol.

2%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$106,012 Wol.

1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$70,840 Wol.

1%

icon for Dan Motreanu

Dan Motreanu

$76,673 Wol.

1%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$152,553 Wol.

1%

icon for Traian Basescu

Traian Basescu

$60,634 Wol.

1%

icon for Ciprian Ciucu

Ciprian Ciucu

$46,381 Wol.

1%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$72,955 Wol.

1%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$76,195 Wol.

1%

icon for Hunor Kelemen

Hunor Kelemen

$83,766 Wol.

1%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$60,280 Wol.

1%

icon for Calin Georgescu

Calin Georgescu

$61,503 Wol.

1%

icon for Adrian Veștea

Adrian Veștea

$205,064 Wol.

1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$46,483 Wol.

<1%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$68,435 Wol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$59,344 Wol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$54,148 Wol.

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$56,429 Wol.

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$54,291 Wol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rogobete

Alexandru Rogobete

$51,775 Wol.

<1%

icon for Victor Ponta

Victor Ponta

$58,401 Wol.

<1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$48,865 Wol.

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$55,027 Wol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$68,779 Wol.

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$84,883 Wol.

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$65,272 Wol.

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$59,354 Wol.

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$54,744 Wol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$60,596 Wol.

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$61,865 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political crisis, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that collapsed Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan’s pro-EU coalition, has left parliament fragmented and delayed formation of a stable government. President Nicușor Dan’s subsequent nominations, including Adrian Veștea, failed to secure parliamentary approval amid opposition from far-right parties and Liberal reluctance to renew partnerships with the Social Democrats. Alexandru Nazare, serving as Finance Minister in the interim Bolojan cabinet, leads trader pricing as a potential continuity or cross-party compromise figure amid stalled talks. Sorin Grindeanu, leader of the largest party PSD, trails as that group’s formal nominee in ongoing consultations. Persistent deadlock, risks to EU funding access, and the prospect of a minority government or further nominations keep probabilities fluid ahead of any resolution.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$3,332,249
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political crisis, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that collapsed Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan’s pro-EU coalition, has left parliament fragmented and delayed formation of a stable government. President Nicușor Dan’s subsequent nominations, including Adrian Veștea, failed to secure parliamentary approval amid opposition from far-right parties and Liberal reluctance to renew partnerships with the Social Democrats. Alexandru Nazare, serving as Finance Minister in the interim Bolojan cabinet, leads trader pricing as a potential continuity or cross-party compromise figure amid stalled talks. Sorin Grindeanu, leader of the largest party PSD, trails as that group’s formal nominee in ongoing consultations. Persistent deadlock, risks to EU funding access, and the prospect of a minority government or further nominations keep probabilities fluid ahead of any resolution.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$3,332,249
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 36 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Alexandru Nazare" z 48%, za nim "Sorin Grindeanu" z 23%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 48¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 48% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" wygenerował $3.3 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 5, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Next Prime Minister of Romania?", przeglądaj 36 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" jest "Alexandru Nazare" z 48%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 48% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Sorin Grindeanu" z 23%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.