Trader consensus strongly favors Keiko Fujimori at 62.5% to win Peru's June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (34.4%), following official confirmation this week of the first-round results after a month-long vote count plagued by logistical delays, disputed ballots, and fraud allegations from eliminated rivals like Rafael López Aliaga. Fujimori's 17% first-round plurality, bolstered by Fuerza Popular's congressional strength and potential consolidation of conservative votes, drives her lead despite late-April polls from Ipsos and IEP showing a dead heat (38%-38% or slight Sánchez edge) amid high undecideds and blank/null intentions (17-24%). Sánchez's surprise rural surge secured his spot, but traders see Fujimori's experience in three prior runoffs tipping the balance in the polarized contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca wyborów prezydenckich w Peru
Zwycięzca wyborów prezydenckich w Peru
Keiko Fujimori 63%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 34.4%
Rafael López Aliaga 1.1%
Carlos Álvarez <1%
$51,414,670 Wol.
$51,414,670 Wol.

Keiko Fujimori
63%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
34%

Rafael López Aliaga
1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 63%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 34.4%
Rafael López Aliaga 1.1%
Carlos Álvarez <1%
$51,414,670 Wol.
$51,414,670 Wol.

Keiko Fujimori
63%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
34%

Rafael López Aliaga
1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors Keiko Fujimori at 62.5% to win Peru's June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (34.4%), following official confirmation this week of the first-round results after a month-long vote count plagued by logistical delays, disputed ballots, and fraud allegations from eliminated rivals like Rafael López Aliaga. Fujimori's 17% first-round plurality, bolstered by Fuerza Popular's congressional strength and potential consolidation of conservative votes, drives her lead despite late-April polls from Ipsos and IEP showing a dead heat (38%-38% or slight Sánchez edge) amid high undecideds and blank/null intentions (17-24%). Sánchez's surprise rural surge secured his spot, but traders see Fujimori's experience in three prior runoffs tipping the balance in the polarized contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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