The razor-thin June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez drives heavy trader weighting toward Fujimori margins of 0.2–0.3 percent. With over 98 percent of ballots counted as of mid-June, official tallies from ONPE show the candidates separated by roughly 600–20,000 votes amid fluctuating leads that have swung with rural precincts, overseas ballots favoring Fujimori, and urban areas supporting Sánchez. This ongoing count, expected to stretch days or weeks, aligns with trader consensus on a final result inside the narrowest brackets, consistent with Peru's recent history of sub-1 percent presidential margins and the absence of decisive shifts in remaining districts. A full recount or successful challenges to contested ballots could still alter the certified margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPeru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 96.5%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 1.8%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2% 1.5%
Fujimori 0–0.1% <1%
$1,848,200 Wol.
$1,848,200 Wol.
Fujimori 1%+
<1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%
<1%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%
<1%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%
<1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%
<1%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%
<1%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%
<1%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
2%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
97%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
2%
Fujimori 0–0.1%
<1%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
<1%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%
<1%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%
<1%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%
<1%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%
<1%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%
<1%
Sánchez 0.6–0.7%
<1%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
<1%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
<1%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%
<1%
Sánchez 1%+
<1%
Other
<1%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 96.5%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 1.8%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2% 1.5%
Fujimori 0–0.1% <1%
$1,848,200 Wol.
$1,848,200 Wol.
Fujimori 1%+
$60,176 Wol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%
$32,568 Wol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%
$31,635 Wol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%
$30,751 Wol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%
$39,177 Wol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%
$80,985 Wol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%
$173,217 Wol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
$258,286 Wol.
2%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
$143,418 Wol.
97%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
$216,683 Wol.
2%
Fujimori 0–0.1%
$232,480 Wol.
<1%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
$174,768 Wol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%
$134,443 Wol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%
$51,086 Wol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%
$36,198 Wol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%
$34,140 Wol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%
$28,110 Wol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.6–0.7%
$22,146 Wol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
$15,485 Wol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
$8,706 Wol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%
$7,727 Wol.
<1%
Sánchez 1%+
$8,872 Wol.
<1%
Other
$27,343 Wol.
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez drives heavy trader weighting toward Fujimori margins of 0.2–0.3 percent. With over 98 percent of ballots counted as of mid-June, official tallies from ONPE show the candidates separated by roughly 600–20,000 votes amid fluctuating leads that have swung with rural precincts, overseas ballots favoring Fujimori, and urban areas supporting Sánchez. This ongoing count, expected to stretch days or weeks, aligns with trader consensus on a final result inside the narrowest brackets, consistent with Peru's recent history of sub-1 percent presidential margins and the absence of decisive shifts in remaining districts. A full recount or successful challenges to contested ballots could still alter the certified margin.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,848,200Rynek otwarty
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez drives heavy trader weighting toward Fujimori margins of 0.2–0.3 percent. With over 98 percent of ballots counted as of mid-June, official tallies from ONPE show the candidates separated by roughly 600–20,000 votes amid fluctuating leads that have swung with rural precincts, overseas ballots favoring Fujimori, and urban areas supporting Sánchez. This ongoing count, expected to stretch days or weeks, aligns with trader consensus on a final result inside the narrowest brackets, consistent with Peru's recent history of sub-1 percent presidential margins and the absence of decisive shifts in remaining districts. A full recount or successful challenges to contested ballots could still alter the certified margin.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$1,848,200Rynek otwarty
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The razor-thin June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez drives heavy trader weighting toward Fujimori margins of 0.2–0.3 percent. With over 98 percent of ballots counted as of mid-June, official tallies from ONPE show the candidates separated by roughly 600–20,000 votes amid fluctuating leads that have swung with rural precincts, overseas ballots favoring Fujimori, and urban areas supporting Sánchez. This ongoing count, expected to stretch days or weeks, aligns with trader consensus on a final result inside the narrowest brackets, consistent with Peru's recent history of sub-1 percent presidential margins and the absence of decisive shifts in remaining districts. A full recount or successful challenges to contested ballots could still alter the certified margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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