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Świat·Australia

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Świat·Australia

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Angus Taylor 100%

Robbie Katter 100%

Pauline Hanson 100%

Larissa Waters 100%

Polymarket
NOWE

Angus Taylor 100%

Robbie Katter 100%

Pauline Hanson 100%

Larissa Waters 100%

Polymarket
NOWE

Angus Taylor

$0 Wol.

100%

Robbie Katter

$0 Wol.

100%

Pauline Hanson

$0 Wol.

100%

Larissa Waters

$0 Wol.

100%

Anthony Albanese

$0 Wol.

100%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australia’s next federal election, due by 2028, features a fragmented field in which Labor’s Anthony Albanese, Coalition leader Angus Taylor, One Nation’s Pauline Hanson, and Greens leader Larissa Waters each hold roughly equal implied probability in trader pricing. The 2025 Labor landslide left Albanese with a large majority, yet recent polls show One Nation drawing support from both major parties amid voter frustration over cost-of-living and “grievance politics.” This diffusion, combined with Australia’s preferential voting system and crossbench influence, keeps any single successor uncertain. A sustained One Nation surge, Coalition primary recovery under Taylor, or Labor primary erosion could quickly reorder probabilities before the next contest.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australia’s next federal election, due by 2028, features a fragmented field in which Labor’s Anthony Albanese, Coalition leader Angus Taylor, One Nation’s Pauline Hanson, and Greens leader Larissa Waters each hold roughly equal implied probability in trader pricing. The 2025 Labor landslide left Albanese with a large majority, yet recent polls show One Nation drawing support from both major parties amid voter frustration over cost-of-living and “grievance politics.” This diffusion, combined with Australia’s preferential voting system and crossbench influence, keeps any single successor uncertain. A sustained One Nation surge, Coalition primary recovery under Taylor, or Labor primary erosion could quickly reorder probabilities before the next contest.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Angus Taylor" z 50%, za nim "Robbie Katter" z 50%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 50¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 50% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jun 10, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " jest "Angus Taylor" z 50%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 50% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Robbie Katter" z 50%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.