The by-election for the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry UK parliamentary seat, scheduled for 18 June 2026, follows the resignation of former SNP MP Stephen Gethins after his election to the Scottish Parliament. Lara Bird, the SNP candidate, holds the strongest position in trader pricing due to the party's prior hold on the constituency under first-past-the-post and ongoing local campaigning. Bill Reid of Reform UK registers as the next most notable option, while candidates from Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and Conservatives trail with limited momentum. With nominations closed and only days remaining until polling across Angus and Dundee areas, recent party activity and the short timeline have reinforced expectations around established vote patterns in this Scottish seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLara Bird 87%
Bill Reid 11.3%
Tanvir Ahmad 2.3%
Heather Doran 1.5%

Lara Bird
87%

Bill Reid
11%

Tanvir Ahmad
2%

Heather Doran
2%

Jack Cruickshanks
2%
Lara Bird 87%
Bill Reid 11.3%
Tanvir Ahmad 2.3%
Heather Doran 1.5%

Lara Bird
87%

Bill Reid
11%

Tanvir Ahmad
2%

Heather Doran
2%

Jack Cruickshanks
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The by-election for the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry UK parliamentary seat, scheduled for 18 June 2026, follows the resignation of former SNP MP Stephen Gethins after his election to the Scottish Parliament. Lara Bird, the SNP candidate, holds the strongest position in trader pricing due to the party's prior hold on the constituency under first-past-the-post and ongoing local campaigning. Bill Reid of Reform UK registers as the next most notable option, while candidates from Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and Conservatives trail with limited momentum. With nominations closed and only days remaining until polling across Angus and Dundee areas, recent party activity and the short timeline have reinforced expectations around established vote patterns in this Scottish seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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