Futuro Nazionale, the nationalist party launched in February 2026 by Roberto Vannacci after his split from Lega, has quickly built nearly 100,000 members and secured recent defections from Italy’s governing centre-right. Current polling places it at 4–4.8 percent nationally, above the 3 percent threshold that typically determines eligibility for proportional seats in the Chamber ahead of the 2027 general election. Trader consensus remains closely balanced because the party is new, its support could consolidate or erode depending on coalition negotiations with Giorgia Meloni’s Brothers of Italy, and the long campaign window leaves room for shifts in right-wing voter preferences or further realignments. A constituent congress scheduled for mid-June and any subsequent polling trends or alliance announcements could alter the balance before election day.