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icon for Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Wybory·Izrael

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

icon for Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Wybory·Izrael

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

25-29 39%

30-34 31%

20-24 21%

<20 13.6%

Polymarket
NOWE

25-29 39%

30-34 31%

20-24 21%

<20 13.6%

Polymarket
NOWE

<20

$1,822 Wol.

14%

20-24

$80 Wol.

32%

25-29

$179 Wol.

39%

30-34

$132 Wol.

31%

35+

$236 Wol.

15%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud near 26 Knesset seats, reflecting the market's narrow edge for the 25-29 range over 20-24 and 30-34 outcomes. The race remains tight due to the late-April formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Beyachad" alliance, which has consolidated opposition support and narrowed Likud's lead in several surveys, alongside reported erosion in the party's base where over 40 percent of prior voters consider alternatives. Coalition tensions over military service exemptions for ultra-Orthodox parties have prompted Likud to advance legislation for early elections before the October 2026 deadline, heightening uncertainty around turnout and bloc alignments. These factors sustain trader consensus on a competitive result without a decisive shift in either direction.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$2,449
Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud near 26 Knesset seats, reflecting the market's narrow edge for the 25-29 range over 20-24 and 30-34 outcomes. The race remains tight due to the late-April formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Beyachad" alliance, which has consolidated opposition support and narrowed Likud's lead in several surveys, alongside reported erosion in the party's base where over 40 percent of prior voters consider alternatives. Coalition tensions over military service exemptions for ultra-Orthodox parties have prompted Likud to advance legislation for early elections before the October 2026 deadline, heightening uncertainty around turnout and bloc alignments. These factors sustain trader consensus on a competitive result without a decisive shift in either direction.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$2,449
Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

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"Israel Election: Likud # of seats?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "25-29" z 39%, za nim "20-24" z 32%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 39¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 39% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Israel Election: Likud # of seats?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Apr 30, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

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Obecnym faworytem dla "Israel Election: Likud # of seats?" jest "25-29" z 39%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 39% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "20-24" z 32%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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