Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range, reflecting erosion of support from its 32 seats in the prior parliament. Key drivers include persistent coalition shortfalls below the 61-seat majority threshold, internal party strains ahead of primaries, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which multiple August surveys project at 23 seats. Security developments in the West Bank and Gaza, along with debates over Haredi conscription and broader opposition consolidation, continue to shape voter shifts. The closely matched market prices on 20–24 and 25–29 seats capture this ongoing volatility, with limited separation expected absent major campaign events or security incidents before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,301 Wol.
$99,301 Wol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
19%
20-24
33%
25-29
35%
30-34
15%
35+
3%
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,301 Wol.
$99,301 Wol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$33,017 Wol.
19%
20-24
$15,423 Wol.
33%
25-29
$24,287 Wol.
35%
30-34
$18,387 Wol.
15%
35+
$8,186 Wol.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range, reflecting erosion of support from its 32 seats in the prior parliament. Key drivers include persistent coalition shortfalls below the 61-seat majority threshold, internal party strains ahead of primaries, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which multiple August surveys project at 23 seats. Security developments in the West Bank and Gaza, along with debates over Haredi conscription and broader opposition consolidation, continue to shape voter shifts. The closely matched market prices on 20–24 and 25–29 seats capture this ongoing volatility, with limited separation expected absent major campaign events or security incidents before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$99,301Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range, reflecting erosion of support from its 32 seats in the prior parliament. Key drivers include persistent coalition shortfalls below the 61-seat majority threshold, internal party strains ahead of primaries, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which multiple August surveys project at 23 seats. Security developments in the West Bank and Gaza, along with debates over Haredi conscription and broader opposition consolidation, continue to shape voter shifts. The closely matched market prices on 20–24 and 25–29 seats capture this ongoing volatility, with limited separation expected absent major campaign events or security incidents before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$99,301Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range, reflecting erosion of support from its 32 seats in the prior parliament. Key drivers include persistent coalition shortfalls below the 61-seat majority threshold, internal party strains ahead of primaries, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which multiple August surveys project at 23 seats. Security developments in the West Bank and Gaza, along with debates over Haredi conscription and broader opposition consolidation, continue to shape voter shifts. The closely matched market prices on 20–24 and 25–29 seats capture this ongoing volatility, with limited separation expected absent major campaign events or security incidents before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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