Lin Kuo-chang, the DPP nominee with prior Yilan County government experience, holds the leading market position in this November 28, 2026 local election amid a fragmented field that includes KMT legislator Wu Tsung-hsien and TPP nominee Chen Wan-hui. Joint KMT-TPP polling from May showed Wu edging or tying Lin in head-to-head matchups, reflecting opposition coordination efforts that could consolidate votes, while earlier surveys indicated Lin ahead. The county's mixed partisan history, combined with ongoing candidate registration and campaign activity through the fall, sustains tight implied probabilities. Late developments such as additional opposition consolidation, turnout shifts in key districts, or policy-focused debates on local issues could widen gaps before voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLin Kuo-chang 56%
Wu Tsung-hsien 37%
Chen Wan-hui 5%
Chang Sheng-te 1.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2027
Lin Kuo-chang
56%
Wu Tsung-hsien
37%
Chen Wan-hui
5%
Chang Sheng-te
1%
Lin Kuo-chang 56%
Wu Tsung-hsien 37%
Chen Wan-hui 5%
Chang Sheng-te 1.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2027
Lin Kuo-chang
$1,168 Wol.
56%
Wu Tsung-hsien
$1,359 Wol.
37%
Chen Wan-hui
$333 Wol.
5%
Chang Sheng-te
$262 Wol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the DPP nominee with prior Yilan County government experience, holds the leading market position in this November 28, 2026 local election amid a fragmented field that includes KMT legislator Wu Tsung-hsien and TPP nominee Chen Wan-hui. Joint KMT-TPP polling from May showed Wu edging or tying Lin in head-to-head matchups, reflecting opposition coordination efforts that could consolidate votes, while earlier surveys indicated Lin ahead. The county's mixed partisan history, combined with ongoing candidate registration and campaign activity through the fall, sustains tight implied probabilities. Late developments such as additional opposition consolidation, turnout shifts in key districts, or policy-focused debates on local issues could widen gaps before voting.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,122Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the DPP nominee with prior Yilan County government experience, holds the leading market position in this November 28, 2026 local election amid a fragmented field that includes KMT legislator Wu Tsung-hsien and TPP nominee Chen Wan-hui. Joint KMT-TPP polling from May showed Wu edging or tying Lin in head-to-head matchups, reflecting opposition coordination efforts that could consolidate votes, while earlier surveys indicated Lin ahead. The county's mixed partisan history, combined with ongoing candidate registration and campaign activity through the fall, sustains tight implied probabilities. Late developments such as additional opposition consolidation, turnout shifts in key districts, or policy-focused debates on local issues could widen gaps before voting.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Wolumen
$3,122Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lin Kuo-chang, the DPP nominee with prior Yilan County government experience, holds the leading market position in this November 28, 2026 local election amid a fragmented field that includes KMT legislator Wu Tsung-hsien and TPP nominee Chen Wan-hui. Joint KMT-TPP polling from May showed Wu edging or tying Lin in head-to-head matchups, reflecting opposition coordination efforts that could consolidate votes, while earlier surveys indicated Lin ahead. The county's mixed partisan history, combined with ongoing candidate registration and campaign activity through the fall, sustains tight implied probabilities. Late developments such as additional opposition consolidation, turnout shifts in key districts, or policy-focused debates on local issues could widen gaps before voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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