The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election features the Greens polling steadily in the mid-to-high teens amid a fragmented field where Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne each hover between roughly 16% and 21% in recent surveys such as INSA (mid-August) and Civey (early August). This narrow band around 14–17% keeps the market bins tightly contested, reflecting limited recent movement in Green support despite the party’s two-candidate team of Werner Graf and Bettina Jarasch emphasizing renewable heating, urban greening, and cooperative housing measures. The incumbent CDU–SPD coalition under Kai Wegner, combined with rising competition from the Left Party on social issues and AfD on migration and security, has capped Green gains in the capital’s diverse electorate. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout among younger or urban voters, or events clarifying coalition options could widen the range, while continued stability in current trends would likely anchor outcomes near the leading 14–17% interval.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano14-17% 46%
<14% 44%
17-20% 42%
20%+ 41%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
<14%
44%
14-17%
46%
17-20%
42%
20%+
41%
14-17% 46%
<14% 44%
17-20% 42%
20%+ 41%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
<14%
$0 Wol.
44%
14-17%
$0 Wol.
46%
17-20%
$0 Wol.
42%
20%+
$0 Wol.
41%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election features the Greens polling steadily in the mid-to-high teens amid a fragmented field where Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne each hover between roughly 16% and 21% in recent surveys such as INSA (mid-August) and Civey (early August). This narrow band around 14–17% keeps the market bins tightly contested, reflecting limited recent movement in Green support despite the party’s two-candidate team of Werner Graf and Bettina Jarasch emphasizing renewable heating, urban greening, and cooperative housing measures. The incumbent CDU–SPD coalition under Kai Wegner, combined with rising competition from the Left Party on social issues and AfD on migration and security, has capped Green gains in the capital’s diverse electorate. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout among younger or urban voters, or events clarifying coalition options could widen the range, while continued stability in current trends would likely anchor outcomes near the leading 14–17% interval.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election features the Greens polling steadily in the mid-to-high teens amid a fragmented field where Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne each hover between roughly 16% and 21% in recent surveys such as INSA (mid-August) and Civey (early August). This narrow band around 14–17% keeps the market bins tightly contested, reflecting limited recent movement in Green support despite the party’s two-candidate team of Werner Graf and Bettina Jarasch emphasizing renewable heating, urban greening, and cooperative housing measures. The incumbent CDU–SPD coalition under Kai Wegner, combined with rising competition from the Left Party on social issues and AfD on migration and security, has capped Green gains in the capital’s diverse electorate. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout among younger or urban voters, or events clarifying coalition options could widen the range, while continued stability in current trends would likely anchor outcomes near the leading 14–17% interval.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election features the Greens polling steadily in the mid-to-high teens amid a fragmented field where Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne each hover between roughly 16% and 21% in recent surveys such as INSA (mid-August) and Civey (early August). This narrow band around 14–17% keeps the market bins tightly contested, reflecting limited recent movement in Green support despite the party’s two-candidate team of Werner Graf and Bettina Jarasch emphasizing renewable heating, urban greening, and cooperative housing measures. The incumbent CDU–SPD coalition under Kai Wegner, combined with rising competition from the Left Party on social issues and AfD on migration and security, has capped Green gains in the capital’s diverse electorate. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout among younger or urban voters, or events clarifying coalition options could widen the range, while continued stability in current trends would likely anchor outcomes near the leading 14–17% interval.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania