The 2026 Brazilian presidential first round on October 4 features a crowded field where national frontrunners Lula of the Workers' Party and Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party remain closely matched in polling averages, including Amazonas-specific surveys showing Lula ahead but within margins that leave room for shifts. Regional dynamics in the northern state, including voter priorities on Amazon environmental policy, security, and economic development, contribute to the tight positioning across multiple contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others polling in single digits nationally. The broad distribution of market probabilities reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns, potential late alliances, and state-level variations that could determine the top finisher without a decisive national frontrunner advantage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoClariana Barao 44%
Flavio Bolsonaro 44%
Hertz Dias 44%
Lula 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Clariana Barao
44%
Flavio Bolsonaro
44%
Hertz Dias
44%
Lula
44%
Pablo Marçal
44%
Renan Santos
44%
Ronaldo Caiado
44%
Rui Costa Pimenta
44%
Samara
44%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
44%
Zema
44%
Edmilson Costa
40%
Escritor Augusto Cury
40%
Clariana Barao 44%
Flavio Bolsonaro 44%
Hertz Dias 44%
Lula 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Clariana Barao
$0 Wol.
44%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$0 Wol.
44%
Hertz Dias
$0 Wol.
44%
Lula
$0 Wol.
44%
Pablo Marçal
$0 Wol.
44%
Renan Santos
$0 Wol.
44%
Ronaldo Caiado
$0 Wol.
44%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$0 Wol.
44%
Samara
$0 Wol.
44%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$0 Wol.
44%
Zema
$0 Wol.
44%
Edmilson Costa
$0 Wol.
40%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$0 Wol.
40%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The 2026 Brazilian presidential first round on October 4 features a crowded field where national frontrunners Lula of the Workers' Party and Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party remain closely matched in polling averages, including Amazonas-specific surveys showing Lula ahead but within margins that leave room for shifts. Regional dynamics in the northern state, including voter priorities on Amazon environmental policy, security, and economic development, contribute to the tight positioning across multiple contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others polling in single digits nationally. The broad distribution of market probabilities reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns, potential late alliances, and state-level variations that could determine the top finisher without a decisive national frontrunner advantage.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The 2026 Brazilian presidential first round on October 4 features a crowded field where national frontrunners Lula of the Workers' Party and Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party remain closely matched in polling averages, including Amazonas-specific surveys showing Lula ahead but within margins that leave room for shifts. Regional dynamics in the northern state, including voter priorities on Amazon environmental policy, security, and economic development, contribute to the tight positioning across multiple contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others polling in single digits nationally. The broad distribution of market probabilities reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns, potential late alliances, and state-level variations that could determine the top finisher without a decisive national frontrunner advantage.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Brazilian presidential first round on October 4 features a crowded field where national frontrunners Lula of the Workers' Party and Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party remain closely matched in polling averages, including Amazonas-specific surveys showing Lula ahead but within margins that leave room for shifts. Regional dynamics in the northern state, including voter priorities on Amazon environmental policy, security, and economic development, contribute to the tight positioning across multiple contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others polling in single digits nationally. The broad distribution of market probabilities reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns, potential late alliances, and state-level variations that could determine the top finisher without a decisive national frontrunner advantage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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