Trader consensus favors Democrats at 77.5% implied probability to win Maine's 2026 Senate race, driven by recent polls showing presumptive nominee Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 5-7 points in matchups like the RealClearPolling average (Platner 47%, Collins 41%). Gov. Janet Mills' April 30 campaign suspension unified Democratic support behind the oyster farmer and military veteran Platner ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice primary, where he held commanding leads. Collins, a moderate seeking a sixth term, faces headwinds in Democrat-leaning Maine despite past incumbency advantages, with the general election set for November 3. Upcoming primary results and summer polling could shift dynamics in this toss-up contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMaine Senate Election Winner
Maine Senate Election Winner
$237,025 Wol.
$237,025 Wol.

Democrat
78%

Republican
23%
$237,025 Wol.
$237,025 Wol.

Democrat
78%

Republican
23%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 77.5% implied probability to win Maine's 2026 Senate race, driven by recent polls showing presumptive nominee Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 5-7 points in matchups like the RealClearPolling average (Platner 47%, Collins 41%). Gov. Janet Mills' April 30 campaign suspension unified Democratic support behind the oyster farmer and military veteran Platner ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice primary, where he held commanding leads. Collins, a moderate seeking a sixth term, faces headwinds in Democrat-leaning Maine despite past incumbency advantages, with the general election set for November 3. Upcoming primary results and summer polling could shift dynamics in this toss-up contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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