Mid-decade redistricting has produced new congressional maps in ten states—Ala., Calif., Fla., La., Mo., N.C., Ohio, Tenn., Texas, and Utah—for the 2026 House elections, driven by legislative actions, ballot measures, and court rulings that altered district lines between the 2020 and 2030 censuses. The Supreme Court’s May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision shifted standards for evaluating race in redistricting under the Voting Rights Act, prompting states such as Alabama to revert to earlier maps after injunctions were lifted. Partisan majorities in Republican-led legislatures pursued gains in several states while California voters approved a temporary legislative override of its independent commission via Proposition 50. Additional attempts in states including Va., Ind., and Md. were rejected by courts or lawmakers. Special primaries have already occurred in affected districts, with the November 2026 general election set to test the final configurations amid ongoing litigation risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$395,116 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
6%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
4%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
$395,116 Wol.
California
$17,232 Wol.
98%
Texas
$19,793 Wol.
98%
North Carolina
$11,909 Wol.
96%
Ohio
$7,385 Wol.
95%
Utah
$93,640 Wol.
91%
Florida
$7,123 Wol.
98%
Louisiana
$16,019 Wol.
93%
Missouri
$5,494 Wol.
93%
Virginia
$9,924 Wol.
6%
Alabama
$16,806 Wol.
91%
South Carolina
$28,897 Wol.
<1%
Georgia
$8,469 Wol.
6%
Kansas
$7,979 Wol.
<1%
New Jersey
$6,034 Wol.
4%
Indiana
$34,456 Wol.
5%
Washington
$10,099 Wol.
4%
Nebraska
$7,515 Wol.
6%
Illinois
$11,855 Wol.
2%
Minnesota
$15,865 Wol.
5%
New York
$19,708 Wol.
3%
Maryland
$16,339 Wol.
4%
Wisconsin
$22,576 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting has produced new congressional maps in ten states—Ala., Calif., Fla., La., Mo., N.C., Ohio, Tenn., Texas, and Utah—for the 2026 House elections, driven by legislative actions, ballot measures, and court rulings that altered district lines between the 2020 and 2030 censuses. The Supreme Court’s May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision shifted standards for evaluating race in redistricting under the Voting Rights Act, prompting states such as Alabama to revert to earlier maps after injunctions were lifted. Partisan majorities in Republican-led legislatures pursued gains in several states while California voters approved a temporary legislative override of its independent commission via Proposition 50. Additional attempts in states including Va., Ind., and Md. were rejected by courts or lawmakers. Special primaries have already occurred in affected districts, with the November 2026 general election set to test the final configurations amid ongoing litigation risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$395,116Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting has produced new congressional maps in ten states—Ala., Calif., Fla., La., Mo., N.C., Ohio, Tenn., Texas, and Utah—for the 2026 House elections, driven by legislative actions, ballot measures, and court rulings that altered district lines between the 2020 and 2030 censuses. The Supreme Court’s May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision shifted standards for evaluating race in redistricting under the Voting Rights Act, prompting states such as Alabama to revert to earlier maps after injunctions were lifted. Partisan majorities in Republican-led legislatures pursued gains in several states while California voters approved a temporary legislative override of its independent commission via Proposition 50. Additional attempts in states including Va., Ind., and Md. were rejected by courts or lawmakers. Special primaries have already occurred in affected districts, with the November 2026 general election set to test the final configurations amid ongoing litigation risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$395,116Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mid-decade redistricting has produced new congressional maps in ten states—Ala., Calif., Fla., La., Mo., N.C., Ohio, Tenn., Texas, and Utah—for the 2026 House elections, driven by legislative actions, ballot measures, and court rulings that altered district lines between the 2020 and 2030 censuses. The Supreme Court’s May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision shifted standards for evaluating race in redistricting under the Voting Rights Act, prompting states such as Alabama to revert to earlier maps after injunctions were lifted. Partisan majorities in Republican-led legislatures pursued gains in several states while California voters approved a temporary legislative override of its independent commission via Proposition 50. Additional attempts in states including Va., Ind., and Md. were rejected by courts or lawmakers. Special primaries have already occurred in affected districts, with the November 2026 general election set to test the final configurations amid ongoing litigation risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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