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Polityka·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Polityka·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$253,945 Wol.

Nov 3, 2026
Polymarket

$253,945 Wol.

Polymarket

California

$12,000 Wol.

97%

Texas

$3,503 Wol.

95%

North Carolina

$8,544 Wol.

97%

Ohio

$5,766 Wol.

94%

Utah

$59,227 Wol.

87%

Florida

$1,177 Wol.

66%

Louisiana

$15,525 Wol.

93%

Missouri

$3,904 Wol.

86%

Virginia

$6,355 Wol.

14%

Alabama

$14,726 Wol.

84%

South Carolina

$21,630 Wol.

78%

Georgia

$1,945 Wol.

12%

Kansas

$5,012 Wol.

6%

New Jersey

$5,044 Wol.

6%

Indiana

$28,282 Wol.

6%

Washington

$5,135 Wol.

8%

Nebraska

$6,500 Wol.

7%

Illinois

$9,819 Wol.

3%

Minnesota

$9,398 Wol.

3%

New York

$8,026 Wol.

13%

Maryland

$7,213 Wol.

11%

Wisconsin

$15,213 Wol.

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, including the April 29 Louisiana v. Callais decision narrowing Voting Rights Act requirements, alongside state court actions, have driven mid-decade congressional redistricting for 2026 midterms. Nine states—Alabama (injunction lifted May 11), California, Florida (enacted May 4), Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee (enacted May 7), Texas, and Utah—have formally adopted new maps post-2024 elections. Virginia's Supreme Court blocked a voter-approved redraw on May 8, reverting to prior districts, while Louisiana and South Carolina advanced Republican-led proposals this week. Ongoing litigation in Georgia and potential federal appeals could alter outcomes before November primaries and general elections. Trader consensus reflects these legal resolutions and legislative timelines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$253,945
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, including the April 29 Louisiana v. Callais decision narrowing Voting Rights Act requirements, alongside state court actions, have driven mid-decade congressional redistricting for 2026 midterms. Nine states—Alabama (injunction lifted May 11), California, Florida (enacted May 4), Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee (enacted May 7), Texas, and Utah—have formally adopted new maps post-2024 elections. Virginia's Supreme Court blocked a voter-approved redraw on May 8, reverting to prior districts, while Louisiana and South Carolina advanced Republican-led proposals this week. Ongoing litigation in Georgia and potential federal appeals could alter outcomes before November primaries and general elections. Trader consensus reflects these legal resolutions and legislative timelines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$253,945
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 22 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "California" z 97%, za nim "North Carolina" z 97%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 97¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 97% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" wygenerował $253.9K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 30, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?", przeglądaj 22 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" jest "California" z 97%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 97% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "North Carolina" z 97%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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