Mid-decade congressional redistricting has produced new maps in roughly ten states for the 2026 House elections, driven by the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais ruling on Voting Rights Act standards and targeted legislative action in Republican-led states. Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah enacted or restored revised districts, often aiming to adjust partisan balance or majority-minority seats, while California voters approved Democratic-favoring lines via ballot measure. Most other states continue using maps drawn after the 2020 census. Ongoing litigation in several jurisdictions and the timing of remaining primaries introduce residual uncertainty over final boundaries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$397,692 Wol.
California
97%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
85%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
2%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
$397,692 Wol.
California
97%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
85%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
2%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mid-decade congressional redistricting has produced new maps in roughly ten states for the 2026 House elections, driven by the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais ruling on Voting Rights Act standards and targeted legislative action in Republican-led states. Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah enacted or restored revised districts, often aiming to adjust partisan balance or majority-minority seats, while California voters approved Democratic-favoring lines via ballot measure. Most other states continue using maps drawn after the 2020 census. Ongoing litigation in several jurisdictions and the timing of remaining primaries introduce residual uncertainty over final boundaries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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