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Polityka·Kansas

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory

icon for Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Polityka·Kansas

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory

Masterson 10–15% 43%

Masterson 20–25% 43%

Masterson 5–10% 42%

Masterson <5% 42%

Polymarket
NOWE

Masterson 10–15% 43%

Masterson 20–25% 43%

Masterson 5–10% 42%

Masterson <5% 42%

Polymarket
NOWE

Masterson 25%+

$0 Wol.

41%

Masterson 20–25%

$0 Wol.

43%

Masterson 15–20%

$0 Wol.

41%

Masterson 10–15%

$0 Wol.

43%

Masterson 5–10%

$0 Wol.

42%

Masterson <5%

$0 Wol.

42%

Sarnecki <5%

$0 Wol.

42%

Sarnecki 5–10%

$0 Wol.

18%

Sarnecki 10%+

$0 Wol.

16%

The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Kansas Republican primary for governor on August 4 features a crowded field led by Senate President Ty Masterson and businessman Philip Sarnecki, with additional contenders including Charlotte O’Hara and Scott Schwab. Trader pricing across narrow victory margins reflects vote-splitting risks and limited public polling data ahead of the contest, alongside recent debate exchanges that highlighted policy divides on taxes, budgeting, and education without clear frontrunner separation. Trump’s endorsement of Masterson has consolidated some support, yet Sarnecki’s appeals on fiscal restraint and outsider messaging keep the race competitive in key suburban and rural areas. Late-campaign events, turnout patterns among primary voters, or any final-week developments could shift the decisive margin in either direction.

The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Kansas Republican primary for governor on August 4 features a crowded field led by Senate President Ty Masterson and businessman Philip Sarnecki, with additional contenders including Charlotte O’Hara and Scott Schwab. Trader pricing across narrow victory margins reflects vote-splitting risks and limited public polling data ahead of the contest, alongside recent debate exchanges that highlighted policy divides on taxes, budgeting, and education without clear frontrunner separation. Trump’s endorsement of Masterson has consolidated some support, yet Sarnecki’s appeals on fiscal restraint and outsider messaging keep the race competitive in key suburban and rural areas. Late-campaign events, turnout patterns among primary voters, or any final-week developments could shift the decisive margin in either direction.

The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 9 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Masterson 20–25%" z 43%, za nim "Masterson 10–15%" z 43%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 43¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 43% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jul 28, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory", przeglądaj 9 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory" jest "Masterson 20–25%" z 43%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 43% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Masterson 10–15%" z 43%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.