US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect and technical talks mediated primarily through Oman, with messages exchanged amid stalled efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and address nuclear restraints, sanctions relief, and war-related compensation following 2025-2026 strikes and a June memorandum of understanding. Recent August developments show both sides issuing new conditions—Washington emphasizing economic pressure and reparations, Tehran linking strait access to asset releases and political concessions—while avoiding formal high-level meetings. President Trump has described the process as low-key or semi-negotiating, with prior rounds involving US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in venues such as Muscat and Islamabad. Scheduled or potential follow-on sessions before year-end could draw senior officials or intermediaries, though procedural barriers and competing demands continue to shape participation prospects.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
$21,032 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Abbas Araghchi
68%
Steve Witkoff
73%
Jared Kushner
66%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
59%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
44%
Kazem Gharibabadi
43%
Ishaq Dar
43%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
41%
Nick Stewart
37%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
37%
J.D. Vance
28%
Marco Rubio
24%
Masoud Pezeshkian
22%
Rafael Grossi
21%
Esmail Qaani
21%
Donald Trump
13%
Pete Hegseth
8%
Mojtaba Khamenei
4%
Ahmad Vahidi
43%
$21,032 Wol.
Abbas Araghchi
$97 Wol.
68%
Steve Witkoff
$67 Wol.
73%
Jared Kushner
$170 Wol.
66%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$60 Wol.
59%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$40 Wol.
44%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$0 Wol.
43%
Ishaq Dar
$34 Wol.
43%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$20 Wol.
41%
Nick Stewart
$20 Wol.
37%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$20 Wol.
37%
J.D. Vance
$40 Wol.
28%
Marco Rubio
$40 Wol.
24%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$40 Wol.
22%
Rafael Grossi
$37 Wol.
21%
Esmail Qaani
$28 Wol.
21%
Donald Trump
$59 Wol.
13%
Pete Hegseth
$1,683 Wol.
8%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$18,553 Wol.
4%
Ahmad Vahidi
$25 Wol.
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect and technical talks mediated primarily through Oman, with messages exchanged amid stalled efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and address nuclear restraints, sanctions relief, and war-related compensation following 2025-2026 strikes and a June memorandum of understanding. Recent August developments show both sides issuing new conditions—Washington emphasizing economic pressure and reparations, Tehran linking strait access to asset releases and political concessions—while avoiding formal high-level meetings. President Trump has described the process as low-key or semi-negotiating, with prior rounds involving US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in venues such as Muscat and Islamabad. Scheduled or potential follow-on sessions before year-end could draw senior officials or intermediaries, though procedural barriers and competing demands continue to shape participation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$21,032Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect and technical talks mediated primarily through Oman, with messages exchanged amid stalled efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and address nuclear restraints, sanctions relief, and war-related compensation following 2025-2026 strikes and a June memorandum of understanding. Recent August developments show both sides issuing new conditions—Washington emphasizing economic pressure and reparations, Tehran linking strait access to asset releases and political concessions—while avoiding formal high-level meetings. President Trump has described the process as low-key or semi-negotiating, with prior rounds involving US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in venues such as Muscat and Islamabad. Scheduled or potential follow-on sessions before year-end could draw senior officials or intermediaries, though procedural barriers and competing demands continue to shape participation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$21,032Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect and technical talks mediated primarily through Oman, with messages exchanged amid stalled efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and address nuclear restraints, sanctions relief, and war-related compensation following 2025-2026 strikes and a June memorandum of understanding. Recent August developments show both sides issuing new conditions—Washington emphasizing economic pressure and reparations, Tehran linking strait access to asset releases and political concessions—while avoiding formal high-level meetings. President Trump has described the process as low-key or semi-negotiating, with prior rounds involving US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in venues such as Muscat and Islamabad. Scheduled or potential follow-on sessions before year-end could draw senior officials or intermediaries, though procedural barriers and competing demands continue to shape participation prospects.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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