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icon for Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

icon for Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

51% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
51% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent framework agreements between the United States and Iran, including a June 2026 memorandum of understanding on ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz access, and sanctions relief, have placed congressional review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act at the center of trader assessments. President Trump has signaled openness to submitting details to lawmakers for approval, yet Republicans and Democrats have both expressed skepticism over verification terms, uranium enrichment limits, and the durability of any nuclear commitments. Bipartisan letters demanding stricter conditions on enrichment and missile issues, combined with the 60-day timeline for follow-on nuclear talks, create balanced uncertainty around passage. Outcomes hinge on the substance of finalized texts, Senate vote thresholds, and any late shifts in administration priorities before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent framework agreements between the United States and Iran, including a June 2026 memorandum of understanding on ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz access, and sanctions relief, have placed congressional review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act at the center of trader assessments. President Trump has signaled openness to submitting details to lawmakers for approval, yet Republicans and Democrats have both expressed skepticism over verification terms, uranium enrichment limits, and the durability of any nuclear commitments. Bipartisan letters demanding stricter conditions on enrichment and missile issues, combined with the 60-day timeline for follow-on nuclear talks, create balanced uncertainty around passage. Outcomes hinge on the substance of finalized texts, Senate vote thresholds, and any late shifts in administration priorities before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 51% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 51¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 51% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jun 16, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?" to 51% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 51% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

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