Recent reports of Anthropic exploring a $30 billion-plus funding round at a valuation exceeding $900 billion have reinforced trader optimism for a high IPO market cap, with the 1.8 trillion-plus bucket leading at 36 percent implied probability. Strong revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate, driven by enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model, combined with secondary-market pricing above $1 trillion, supports expectations of substantial post-IPO appreciation. Preparations including banker outreach and legal filings point to a possible late-2026 debut, though timelines remain fluid amid competitive AI dynamics and profitability concerns. Traders appear to discount near-term dilution risks in favor of sustained demand for frontier AI capabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.8T+ 37%
1.2–1.5T 16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
1.5–1.8T 13%
$46,231 Wol.
$46,231 Wol.
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
5%
0.9–1.2T
11%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
13%
1.8T+
37%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 37%
1.2–1.5T 16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
1.5–1.8T 13%
$46,231 Wol.
$46,231 Wol.
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
5%
0.9–1.2T
11%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
13%
1.8T+
37%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of Anthropic exploring a $30 billion-plus funding round at a valuation exceeding $900 billion have reinforced trader optimism for a high IPO market cap, with the 1.8 trillion-plus bucket leading at 36 percent implied probability. Strong revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate, driven by enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model, combined with secondary-market pricing above $1 trillion, supports expectations of substantial post-IPO appreciation. Preparations including banker outreach and legal filings point to a possible late-2026 debut, though timelines remain fluid amid competitive AI dynamics and profitability concerns. Traders appear to discount near-term dilution risks in favor of sustained demand for frontier AI capabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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