OpenAI's structure as a capped-profit entity and its leadership's focus on advancing frontier artificial intelligence models continue to anchor trader expectations that no IPO will occur by the end of 2026. Recent private funding rounds and strategic partnerships, including deepened collaboration with Microsoft on large language model infrastructure, have reinforced this view by providing capital without public market obligations. The absence of any official IPO timeline or regulatory filings further supports the 69 percent implied probability on no listing, while smaller probabilities attached to high valuations reflect uncertainty over future restructuring that could accelerate a public debut.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLimit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI
Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI
Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku 69%
1,5 bln+ 10.6%
1,25–1,5 bln 3.7%
500–750 mld 3.5%
$1,638,596 Wol.
$1,638,596 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<500 mld
1%
500–750 mld
3%
750 mld–1 bln
2%
1 bln–1,25 bln
3%
1,25–1,5 bln
4%
1,5 bln+
11%
Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku
69%
Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku 69%
1,5 bln+ 10.6%
1,25–1,5 bln 3.7%
500–750 mld 3.5%
$1,638,596 Wol.
$1,638,596 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<500 mld
$266,170 Wol.
1%
500–750 mld
$146,331 Wol.
3%
750 mld–1 bln
$141,040 Wol.
2%
1 bln–1,25 bln
$182,607 Wol.
3%
1,25–1,5 bln
$496,517 Wol.
4%
1,5 bln+
$100,918 Wol.
11%
Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku
$305,014 Wol.
69%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's structure as a capped-profit entity and its leadership's focus on advancing frontier artificial intelligence models continue to anchor trader expectations that no IPO will occur by the end of 2026. Recent private funding rounds and strategic partnerships, including deepened collaboration with Microsoft on large language model infrastructure, have reinforced this view by providing capital without public market obligations. The absence of any official IPO timeline or regulatory filings further supports the 69 percent implied probability on no listing, while smaller probabilities attached to high valuations reflect uncertainty over future restructuring that could accelerate a public debut.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,638,596Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's structure as a capped-profit entity and its leadership's focus on advancing frontier artificial intelligence models continue to anchor trader expectations that no IPO will occur by the end of 2026. Recent private funding rounds and strategic partnerships, including deepened collaboration with Microsoft on large language model infrastructure, have reinforced this view by providing capital without public market obligations. The absence of any official IPO timeline or regulatory filings further supports the 69 percent implied probability on no listing, while smaller probabilities attached to high valuations reflect uncertainty over future restructuring that could accelerate a public debut.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$1,638,596Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's structure as a capped-profit entity and its leadership's focus on advancing frontier artificial intelligence models continue to anchor trader expectations that no IPO will occur by the end of 2026. Recent private funding rounds and strategic partnerships, including deepened collaboration with Microsoft on large language model infrastructure, have reinforced this view by providing capital without public market obligations. The absence of any official IPO timeline or regulatory filings further supports the 69 percent implied probability on no listing, while smaller probabilities attached to high valuations reflect uncertainty over future restructuring that could accelerate a public debut.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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