Secondary-market data peg Discord near an $8.5 billion valuation following sharp compression from its 2021 $15 billion peak, anchoring the leading 8–11 billion bracket at 24.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the company’s January 2026 confidential filing and retained underwriters alongside the absence of a public S-1, pushing the base-case IPO timeline into 2027 and elevating the no-IPO-by-December-31-2027 outcome to 22.7%. Roughly $600–900 million in annual recurring revenue and 200 million-plus monthly active users support a conservative pricing range that avoids the premium multiples seen in prior consumer-tech listings, while macro conditions and monetization progress remain key swing factors ahead of any potential 2026 or 2027 debut.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 22.7%
<5B 16%
20B+ 12.1%
$31,502 Wol.
$31,502 Wol.
<5B
16%
5–8B
11%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
7%
14–17B
3%
17–20B
6%
20B+
12%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
23%
8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 22.7%
<5B 16%
20B+ 12.1%
$31,502 Wol.
$31,502 Wol.
<5B
16%
5–8B
11%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
7%
14–17B
3%
17–20B
6%
20B+
12%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
23%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Secondary-market data peg Discord near an $8.5 billion valuation following sharp compression from its 2021 $15 billion peak, anchoring the leading 8–11 billion bracket at 24.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the company’s January 2026 confidential filing and retained underwriters alongside the absence of a public S-1, pushing the base-case IPO timeline into 2027 and elevating the no-IPO-by-December-31-2027 outcome to 22.7%. Roughly $600–900 million in annual recurring revenue and 200 million-plus monthly active users support a conservative pricing range that avoids the premium multiples seen in prior consumer-tech listings, while macro conditions and monetization progress remain key swing factors ahead of any potential 2026 or 2027 debut.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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