Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with ongoing investor meetings led by its CFO since July, has anchored trader expectations around an October 2026 debut at 57% implied probability. Standard SEC review timelines of three to six months, banker involvement from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, and references to fall windows in credible reporting all reinforce October as the most plausible near-term path. Recent revenue disclosures and forward projections to 2028 support high valuations near $1–2 trillion, yet the company has emphasized that any listing remains subject to market conditions, ongoing AI regulatory scrutiny, and competitive dynamics with OpenAI. Later 2026 or 2027 months price in potential delays from these factors, while pre-2028 probabilities reflect the absence of an official timeline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOctober 2026 57%
November 2026 12%
September 2026 9%
December 2026 8%
September 2026
9%
October 2026
57%
November 2026
12%
December 2026
8%
January 2027
7%
February 2027
7%
March 2027
5%
April 2027
4%
May 2027
5%
June 2027
6%
July 2027
4%
August 2027
4%
September 2027
4%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
4%
December 2027
4%
No IPO before 2028
5%
October 2026 57%
November 2026 12%
September 2026 9%
December 2026 8%
September 2026
9%
October 2026
57%
November 2026
12%
December 2026
8%
January 2027
7%
February 2027
7%
March 2027
5%
April 2027
4%
May 2027
5%
June 2027
6%
July 2027
4%
August 2027
4%
September 2027
4%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
4%
December 2027
4%
No IPO before 2028
5%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with ongoing investor meetings led by its CFO since July, has anchored trader expectations around an October 2026 debut at 57% implied probability. Standard SEC review timelines of three to six months, banker involvement from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, and references to fall windows in credible reporting all reinforce October as the most plausible near-term path. Recent revenue disclosures and forward projections to 2028 support high valuations near $1–2 trillion, yet the company has emphasized that any listing remains subject to market conditions, ongoing AI regulatory scrutiny, and competitive dynamics with OpenAI. Later 2026 or 2027 months price in potential delays from these factors, while pre-2028 probabilities reflect the absence of an official timeline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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