Traders assign Anthropic an 88% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of October, driven by its recent large language model releases that have delivered leading results on key capability benchmarks and safety evaluations. This positions the company ahead of OpenAI at 3% and Google at 6.8%, reflecting sustained competitive momentum in the AI sector amid ongoing model iterations. Other labs remain at minimal odds, underscoring limited recent shifts in relative performance. Upcoming developer conferences and potential fall releases from major players could still influence outcomes before resolution, as product timelines and benchmark gains remain subject to change in this fast-moving field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Anthropic 88%
Google 6.8%
OpenAI 3.0%
Meta 1.7%
$293,560 Wol.
$293,560 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
88%
7%
OpenAI
3%
Meta
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 88%
Google 6.8%
OpenAI 3.0%
Meta 1.7%
$293,560 Wol.
$293,560 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$53,495 Wol.
88%
$29,108 Wol.
7%
OpenAI
$30,352 Wol.
3%
Meta
$29,252 Wol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$21,351 Wol.
1%
Alibaba
$17,504 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$19,160 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$20,870 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$22,220 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$16,535 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$11,129 Wol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,471 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,066 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$7,360 Wol.
<1%
Thinky
$925 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,262 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,800 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$4,885 Wol.
<1%
Tencent
$949 Wol.
<1%
StepFun
$540 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,327 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Anthropic an 88% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of October, driven by its recent large language model releases that have delivered leading results on key capability benchmarks and safety evaluations. This positions the company ahead of OpenAI at 3% and Google at 6.8%, reflecting sustained competitive momentum in the AI sector amid ongoing model iterations. Other labs remain at minimal odds, underscoring limited recent shifts in relative performance. Upcoming developer conferences and potential fall releases from major players could still influence outcomes before resolution, as product timelines and benchmark gains remain subject to change in this fast-moving field.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$293,560Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Anthropic an 88% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of October, driven by its recent large language model releases that have delivered leading results on key capability benchmarks and safety evaluations. This positions the company ahead of OpenAI at 3% and Google at 6.8%, reflecting sustained competitive momentum in the AI sector amid ongoing model iterations. Other labs remain at minimal odds, underscoring limited recent shifts in relative performance. Upcoming developer conferences and potential fall releases from major players could still influence outcomes before resolution, as product timelines and benchmark gains remain subject to change in this fast-moving field.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$293,560Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Anthropic an 88% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of October, driven by its recent large language model releases that have delivered leading results on key capability benchmarks and safety evaluations. This positions the company ahead of OpenAI at 3% and Google at 6.8%, reflecting sustained competitive momentum in the AI sector amid ongoing model iterations. Other labs remain at minimal odds, underscoring limited recent shifts in relative performance. Upcoming developer conferences and potential fall releases from major players could still influence outcomes before resolution, as product timelines and benchmark gains remain subject to change in this fast-moving field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania