OpenAI’s outsized capital needs for compute, data centers, and model development anchor trader expectations that its IPO could deliver a record equity raise, supporting the 44.5% implied probability on $100B+. The company’s March 2026 $122B round at an $852B post-money valuation, followed by a $7B employee tender at the same level, demonstrates sustained demand from strategic investors including Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank. Recent signals of a 2027 listing—after the September 2026 window passed—to pursue a $1T valuation rather than accept a lower 2026 price have reinforced views of a large-scale offering sized to match infrastructure burn and revenue growth above a $40B annualized run rate. Market-implied odds on smaller tranches reflect execution risks tied to regulatory scrutiny and macro conditions for mega-IPO pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$100B+ 43%
<$30B 21.8%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 19.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 30, 2027
<$30B
22%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
22%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
8%
$80B–$90B
20%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
43%
$100B+ 43%
<$30B 21.8%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 19.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 30, 2027
<$30B
$603 Wol.
22%
$30B–$40B
$463 Wol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Wol.
22%
$50B–$60B
$1,153 Wol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$499 Wol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Wol.
8%
$80B–$90B
$448 Wol.
20%
$90B–$100B
$306 Wol.
3%
$100B+
$1,542 Wol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s outsized capital needs for compute, data centers, and model development anchor trader expectations that its IPO could deliver a record equity raise, supporting the 44.5% implied probability on $100B+. The company’s March 2026 $122B round at an $852B post-money valuation, followed by a $7B employee tender at the same level, demonstrates sustained demand from strategic investors including Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank. Recent signals of a 2027 listing—after the September 2026 window passed—to pursue a $1T valuation rather than accept a lower 2026 price have reinforced views of a large-scale offering sized to match infrastructure burn and revenue growth above a $40B annualized run rate. Market-implied odds on smaller tranches reflect execution risks tied to regulatory scrutiny and macro conditions for mega-IPO pricing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,124Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s outsized capital needs for compute, data centers, and model development anchor trader expectations that its IPO could deliver a record equity raise, supporting the 44.5% implied probability on $100B+. The company’s March 2026 $122B round at an $852B post-money valuation, followed by a $7B employee tender at the same level, demonstrates sustained demand from strategic investors including Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank. Recent signals of a 2027 listing—after the September 2026 window passed—to pursue a $1T valuation rather than accept a lower 2026 price have reinforced views of a large-scale offering sized to match infrastructure burn and revenue growth above a $40B annualized run rate. Market-implied odds on smaller tranches reflect execution risks tied to regulatory scrutiny and macro conditions for mega-IPO pricing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$7,124Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s outsized capital needs for compute, data centers, and model development anchor trader expectations that its IPO could deliver a record equity raise, supporting the 44.5% implied probability on $100B+. The company’s March 2026 $122B round at an $852B post-money valuation, followed by a $7B employee tender at the same level, demonstrates sustained demand from strategic investors including Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank. Recent signals of a 2027 listing—after the September 2026 window passed—to pursue a $1T valuation rather than accept a lower 2026 price have reinforced views of a large-scale offering sized to match infrastructure burn and revenue growth above a $40B annualized run rate. Market-implied odds on smaller tranches reflect execution risks tied to regulatory scrutiny and macro conditions for mega-IPO pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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