Situational Awareness LP, the hedge fund run by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, has rapidly scaled its disclosed equity book from roughly $254 million in late 2024 to $5.52 billion by the end of Q4 2025, with a highly concentrated portfolio of 29 holdings tilted toward AI power infrastructure and data-center enablers. Recent 13F filings show aggressive additions in names such as Bloom Energy, Bitcoin miners including IREN and Core Scientific, and semiconductor-related calls, reflecting the fund’s thesis that electricity supply and compute capacity—not model development—will capture the largest share of AI-driven value. With the Q1 2026 report due around mid-May, traders are monitoring whether the fund continues to expand positions in these sectors or initiates new ones in complementary areas like utilities or advanced chips, moves that could further validate or shift market-implied probabilities around its evolving allocation strategy.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$111 Wol.
Constellation Energy
12%
Eaton
8%
GE Vernova
18%
MARA Holdings
9%
Micron
50%
Oklo
7%
Qualcomm
7%
TeraWulf
7%
Vertiv
19%
Vistra Energy
50%
$111 Wol.
Constellation Energy
12%
Eaton
8%
GE Vernova
18%
MARA Holdings
9%
Micron
50%
Oklo
7%
Qualcomm
7%
TeraWulf
7%
Vertiv
19%
Vistra Energy
50%
A "new position" refers to a position appearing in the relevant 13F-HR filing that did not appear in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing submitted by Situational Awareness LP. A position that was not disclosed in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing for any reason, including confidential treatment, will be considered a new position if it appears in the relevant 13F-HR filing.
Long common stock holdings and long call option positions in the specified stock reported in the relevant 13F-HR filing will qualify. Short positions, put option positions, and other bearish positions will not qualify.
The relevant filing for this market is the 13F-HR filing reflecting holdings as of March 31, 2026. Amendments (13F-HR/A) filed after the initial 13F-HR submission will not be considered.
The standard SEC filing deadline for this report is May 15, 2026.
If Situational Awareness LP does not file the relevant 13F-HR with the SEC by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Situational Awareness LP's SEC EDGAR filing page (https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=2045724).
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A "new position" refers to a position appearing in the relevant 13F-HR filing that did not appear in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing submitted by Situational Awareness LP. A position that was not disclosed in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing for any reason, including confidential treatment, will be considered a new position if it appears in the relevant 13F-HR filing.
Long common stock holdings and long call option positions in the specified stock reported in the relevant 13F-HR filing will qualify. Short positions, put option positions, and other bearish positions will not qualify.
The relevant filing for this market is the 13F-HR filing reflecting holdings as of March 31, 2026. Amendments (13F-HR/A) filed after the initial 13F-HR submission will not be considered.
The standard SEC filing deadline for this report is May 15, 2026.
If Situational Awareness LP does not file the relevant 13F-HR with the SEC by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Situational Awareness LP's SEC EDGAR filing page (https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=2045724).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Situational Awareness LP, the hedge fund run by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, has rapidly scaled its disclosed equity book from roughly $254 million in late 2024 to $5.52 billion by the end of Q4 2025, with a highly concentrated portfolio of 29 holdings tilted toward AI power infrastructure and data-center enablers. Recent 13F filings show aggressive additions in names such as Bloom Energy, Bitcoin miners including IREN and Core Scientific, and semiconductor-related calls, reflecting the fund’s thesis that electricity supply and compute capacity—not model development—will capture the largest share of AI-driven value. With the Q1 2026 report due around mid-May, traders are monitoring whether the fund continues to expand positions in these sectors or initiates new ones in complementary areas like utilities or advanced chips, moves that could further validate or shift market-implied probabilities around its evolving allocation strategy.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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