Recent confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation for a potential June or July 2026 IPO have driven the 2.0T+ outcome to 63.5% implied probability. Traders cite Starlink’s rapidly expanding satellite constellation revenue alongside Starship’s reusable launch progress as key catalysts elevating SpaceX’s positioning in the aerospace and satellite internet sectors. Ongoing investor roadshow preparations and strong private-market tender activity reinforce consensus around high closing market cap, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks on the massive capital raise could still influence final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Niższe Strajki)
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Niższe Strajki)
2,0 bln+ 64%
1,8–2,0 bln 12%
1,6 bln–1,8 bln 8.8%
1,4 bln–1,6 bln 5.4%
$956,317 Wol.
$956,317 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
Brak debiutu giełdowego przed 2028 rokiem
1%
<1,0 bln
4%
1,0 bln–1,2 bln
2%
1,2–1,4 bln USD
3%
1,4 bln–1,6 bln
5%
1,6 bln–1,8 bln
9%
1,8–2,0 bln
12%
2,0 bln+
64%
2,0 bln+ 64%
1,8–2,0 bln 12%
1,6 bln–1,8 bln 8.8%
1,4 bln–1,6 bln 5.4%
$956,317 Wol.
$956,317 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
Brak debiutu giełdowego przed 2028 rokiem
$193,296 Wol.
1%
<1,0 bln
$77,154 Wol.
4%
1,0 bln–1,2 bln
$54,198 Wol.
2%
1,2–1,4 bln USD
$71,493 Wol.
3%
1,4 bln–1,6 bln
$116,324 Wol.
5%
1,6 bln–1,8 bln
$119,292 Wol.
9%
1,8–2,0 bln
$106,609 Wol.
12%
2,0 bln+
$217,951 Wol.
64%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation for a potential June or July 2026 IPO have driven the 2.0T+ outcome to 63.5% implied probability. Traders cite Starlink’s rapidly expanding satellite constellation revenue alongside Starship’s reusable launch progress as key catalysts elevating SpaceX’s positioning in the aerospace and satellite internet sectors. Ongoing investor roadshow preparations and strong private-market tender activity reinforce consensus around high closing market cap, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks on the massive capital raise could still influence final resolution.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Wolumen
$956,317Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation for a potential June or July 2026 IPO have driven the 2.0T+ outcome to 63.5% implied probability. Traders cite Starlink’s rapidly expanding satellite constellation revenue alongside Starship’s reusable launch progress as key catalysts elevating SpaceX’s positioning in the aerospace and satellite internet sectors. Ongoing investor roadshow preparations and strong private-market tender activity reinforce consensus around high closing market cap, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks on the massive capital raise could still influence final resolution.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$956,317Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation for a potential June or July 2026 IPO have driven the 2.0T+ outcome to 63.5% implied probability. Traders cite Starlink’s rapidly expanding satellite constellation revenue alongside Starship’s reusable launch progress as key catalysts elevating SpaceX’s positioning in the aerospace and satellite internet sectors. Ongoing investor roadshow preparations and strong private-market tender activity reinforce consensus around high closing market cap, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks on the massive capital raise could still influence final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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