The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km east-northeast of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—now 24 days ago—amid a lull in major seismic activity along global plate boundaries. Long-term USGS statistics show an average of 16 such events annually, driven by tectonic stress release in subduction zones and transform faults, but precise timing and location defy short-term prediction due to chaotic fault dynamics. Traders should track USGS real-time feeds and moment magnitude (Mw) confirmations, as any qualifying quake would resolve promptly; upcoming weekly significant earthquake lists offer no forecasts but highlight emerging clusters. This underscores prediction markets' role in pricing fundamental geophysical uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$24,849 Wol.
May 31, 2026
May 15
10%
May 30
43%
$24,849 Wol.
May 15
$3,291 Wol.
10%
May 30
$8,311 Wol.
43%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km east-northeast of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—now 24 days ago—amid a lull in major seismic activity along global plate boundaries. Long-term USGS statistics show an average of 16 such events annually, driven by tectonic stress release in subduction zones and transform faults, but precise timing and location defy short-term prediction due to chaotic fault dynamics. Traders should track USGS real-time feeds and moment magnitude (Mw) confirmations, as any qualifying quake would resolve promptly; upcoming weekly significant earthquake lists offer no forecasts but highlight emerging clusters. This underscores prediction markets' role in pricing fundamental geophysical uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,849Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km east-northeast of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—now 24 days ago—amid a lull in major seismic activity along global plate boundaries. Long-term USGS statistics show an average of 16 such events annually, driven by tectonic stress release in subduction zones and transform faults, but precise timing and location defy short-term prediction due to chaotic fault dynamics. Traders should track USGS real-time feeds and moment magnitude (Mw) confirmations, as any qualifying quake would resolve promptly; upcoming weekly significant earthquake lists offer no forecasts but highlight emerging clusters. This underscores prediction markets' role in pricing fundamental geophysical uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Wolumen
$24,849Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km east-northeast of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—now 24 days ago—amid a lull in major seismic activity along global plate boundaries. Long-term USGS statistics show an average of 16 such events annually, driven by tectonic stress release in subduction zones and transform faults, but precise timing and location defy short-term prediction due to chaotic fault dynamics. Traders should track USGS real-time feeds and moment magnitude (Mw) confirmations, as any qualifying quake would resolve promptly; upcoming weekly significant earthquake lists offer no forecasts but highlight emerging clusters. This underscores prediction markets' role in pricing fundamental geophysical uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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