The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 14°C as London's highest temperature on May 15 stems from verified Met Office observations of persistent stratiform cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northerly breezes that suppressed solar insolation and advected a cool maritime air mass across southeast England. This setup followed an early-May Arctic outbreak that left residual below-normal temperatures, with afternoon peaks at London City Airport—the designated resolution station—held near 14°C amid high humidity and minimal diurnal warming. Model runs showed limited variance once midday conditions stabilized, aligning trader positions with official data rather than climatological averages around 17–18°C. A sudden afternoon clearance allowing stronger radiative heating or a southeasterly wind shift could have nudged readings to 15°C, but no such development materialized before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 15?
Highest temperature in London on May 15?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$262,941 Wol.
$262,941 Wol.
May 15, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$262,941 Wol.
$262,941 Wol.
May 15, 2026
8°C or below
$13,966 Wol.
No
9°C
$9,703 Wol.
No
10°C
$23,627 Wol.
No
11°C
$23,526 Wol.
No
12°C
$22,754 Wol.
No
13°C
$25,208 Wol.
No
14°C
$26,732 Wol.
Yes
15°C
$51,079 Wol.
No
16°C
$27,905 Wol.
No
17°C
$17,348 Wol.
No
18°C or higher
$21,094 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 14°C as London's highest temperature on May 15 stems from verified Met Office observations of persistent stratiform cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northerly breezes that suppressed solar insolation and advected a cool maritime air mass across southeast England. This setup followed an early-May Arctic outbreak that left residual below-normal temperatures, with afternoon peaks at London City Airport—the designated resolution station—held near 14°C amid high humidity and minimal diurnal warming. Model runs showed limited variance once midday conditions stabilized, aligning trader positions with official data rather than climatological averages around 17–18°C. A sudden afternoon clearance allowing stronger radiative heating or a southeasterly wind shift could have nudged readings to 15°C, but no such development materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$262,941Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 14°C as London's highest temperature on May 15 stems from verified Met Office observations of persistent stratiform cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northerly breezes that suppressed solar insolation and advected a cool maritime air mass across southeast England. This setup followed an early-May Arctic outbreak that left residual below-normal temperatures, with afternoon peaks at London City Airport—the designated resolution station—held near 14°C amid high humidity and minimal diurnal warming. Model runs showed limited variance once midday conditions stabilized, aligning trader positions with official data rather than climatological averages around 17–18°C. A sudden afternoon clearance allowing stronger radiative heating or a southeasterly wind shift could have nudged readings to 15°C, but no such development materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$262,941Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 14°C as London's highest temperature on May 15 stems from verified Met Office observations of persistent stratiform cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northerly breezes that suppressed solar insolation and advected a cool maritime air mass across southeast England. This setup followed an early-May Arctic outbreak that left residual below-normal temperatures, with afternoon peaks at London City Airport—the designated resolution station—held near 14°C amid high humidity and minimal diurnal warming. Model runs showed limited variance once midday conditions stabilized, aligning trader positions with official data rather than climatological averages around 17–18°C. A sudden afternoon clearance allowing stronger radiative heating or a southeasterly wind shift could have nudged readings to 15°C, but no such development materialized before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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