National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models point to scattered showers and mostly cloudy skies over New York City on May 15, capping the high temperature in the mid-60s Fahrenheit amid lingering moisture from a recent cool front that brought rain on May 13-14. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 64-65°F (30%) and 66-67°F (29.5%), reflecting model consensus means near 65°F but with subtle spread: lower outcomes gain edge from prolonged cloud cover reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers, while upper bins hinge on partial afternoon clearing and southerly winds of 10-20 mph mixing in milder air. Official Central Park readings will resolve; watch NWS updates through midday for refined shower timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 29%
68-69°F 19%
62-63°F 14%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 29%
68-69°F 19%
62-63°F 14%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models point to scattered showers and mostly cloudy skies over New York City on May 15, capping the high temperature in the mid-60s Fahrenheit amid lingering moisture from a recent cool front that brought rain on May 13-14. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 64-65°F (30%) and 66-67°F (29.5%), reflecting model consensus means near 65°F but with subtle spread: lower outcomes gain edge from prolonged cloud cover reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers, while upper bins hinge on partial afternoon clearing and southerly winds of 10-20 mph mixing in milder air. Official Central Park readings will resolve; watch NWS updates through midday for refined shower timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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