Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast for Incheon International Airport—the official resolution station—projects a maximum temperature of 26°C today under clear skies, light westerly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning precisely with trader consensus implied by 100% odds on this outcome. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS reinforce this, showing minimal convective activity and temperatures capping near climatological May highs of 22–24°C amid a warmer-than-average spring pattern. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists; scenarios like prolonged sunshine boosting surface heating or reduced nocturnal cooling could realistically push to 27°C or higher, though low humidity and evening marine influence limit upside risk—watch hourly KMA observations through late afternoon for confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
$283,056 Wol.
$283,056 Wol.
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
<1%
$283,056 Wol.
$283,056 Wol.
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast for Incheon International Airport—the official resolution station—projects a maximum temperature of 26°C today under clear skies, light westerly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning precisely with trader consensus implied by 100% odds on this outcome. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS reinforce this, showing minimal convective activity and temperatures capping near climatological May highs of 22–24°C amid a warmer-than-average spring pattern. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists; scenarios like prolonged sunshine boosting surface heating or reduced nocturnal cooling could realistically push to 27°C or higher, though low humidity and evening marine influence limit upside risk—watch hourly KMA observations through late afternoon for confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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