**Official MetService observations confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 15°C earlier today, driving the market-implied 100% probability on this outcome as southerly winds usher in cooler evening conditions.** Current readings at Wellington International Airport show temperatures dropping to around 12°C with scattered clouds and moderate gusts, aligning with forecast model consensus from MetService predicting a mid-May high near historical averages of 15–16°C for the region. With sunset approaching at approximately 5:15 PM NZST and no significant warming potential remaining, trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in this resolution based on verified hourly data. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or post-day data revision by NIWA climatologists, both low-probability given persistent cool air mass and diurnal cooling patterns. Final daily summary expected from MetService within 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$59,292 Wol.
$59,292 Wol.
May 14, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$59,292 Wol.
$59,292 Wol.
May 14, 2026
8°C or below
$1,150 Wol.
No
9°C
$800 Wol.
No
10°C
$1,366 Wol.
No
11°C
$810 Wol.
No
12°C
$1,797 Wol.
No
13°C
$7,266 Wol.
No
14°C
$17,754 Wol.
No
15°C
$11,158 Wol.
Yes
16°C
$6,541 Wol.
No
17°C
$5,004 Wol.
No
18°C or higher
$5,647 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official MetService observations confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 15°C earlier today, driving the market-implied 100% probability on this outcome as southerly winds usher in cooler evening conditions.** Current readings at Wellington International Airport show temperatures dropping to around 12°C with scattered clouds and moderate gusts, aligning with forecast model consensus from MetService predicting a mid-May high near historical averages of 15–16°C for the region. With sunset approaching at approximately 5:15 PM NZST and no significant warming potential remaining, trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in this resolution based on verified hourly data. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or post-day data revision by NIWA climatologists, both low-probability given persistent cool air mass and diurnal cooling patterns. Final daily summary expected from MetService within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$59,292Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official MetService observations confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 15°C earlier today, driving the market-implied 100% probability on this outcome as southerly winds usher in cooler evening conditions.** Current readings at Wellington International Airport show temperatures dropping to around 12°C with scattered clouds and moderate gusts, aligning with forecast model consensus from MetService predicting a mid-May high near historical averages of 15–16°C for the region. With sunset approaching at approximately 5:15 PM NZST and no significant warming potential remaining, trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in this resolution based on verified hourly data. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or post-day data revision by NIWA climatologists, both low-probability given persistent cool air mass and diurnal cooling patterns. Final daily summary expected from MetService within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$59,292Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Official MetService observations confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 15°C earlier today, driving the market-implied 100% probability on this outcome as southerly winds usher in cooler evening conditions.** Current readings at Wellington International Airport show temperatures dropping to around 12°C with scattered clouds and moderate gusts, aligning with forecast model consensus from MetService predicting a mid-May high near historical averages of 15–16°C for the region. With sunset approaching at approximately 5:15 PM NZST and no significant warming potential remaining, trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in this resolution based on verified hourly data. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or post-day data revision by NIWA climatologists, both low-probability given persistent cool air mass and diurnal cooling patterns. Final daily summary expected from MetService within 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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