Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 28°C (36%) and 29°C (37.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport today, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ECMWF model forecasts indicating a peak near 28°C amid mostly cloudy skies and high humidity around 80% limiting daytime solar heating. Recent developments include a drop from 31°C on May 11 to 26°C on May 13 due to increased cloud cover and light rain, rebounding to 28°C yesterday, consistent with May climatological averages of 26–28°C. Key differentiators hinge on diurnal timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap the peak at 28°C or allow brief clearing for 29°C; official station observations will finalize resolution by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
28°C 43%
29°C 38%
30°C 19%
27°C 4.5%
NOWE
$23,321 Wol.
NOWE
$23,321 Wol.
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
43%
29°C
38%
30°C
19%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
28°C 43%
29°C 38%
30°C 19%
27°C 4.5%
NOWE
$23,321 Wol.
NOWE
$23,321 Wol.
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
$6,674 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,317 Wol.
5%
28°C
$1,647 Wol.
43%
29°C
$1,317 Wol.
38%
30°C
$1,414 Wol.
19%
31°C
$1,557 Wol.
3%
32°C
$2,259 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$1,287 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$872 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$1,886 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,342 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 28°C (36%) and 29°C (37.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport today, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ECMWF model forecasts indicating a peak near 28°C amid mostly cloudy skies and high humidity around 80% limiting daytime solar heating. Recent developments include a drop from 31°C on May 11 to 26°C on May 13 due to increased cloud cover and light rain, rebounding to 28°C yesterday, consistent with May climatological averages of 26–28°C. Key differentiators hinge on diurnal timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap the peak at 28°C or allow brief clearing for 29°C; official station observations will finalize resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,321Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 28°C (36%) and 29°C (37.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport today, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ECMWF model forecasts indicating a peak near 28°C amid mostly cloudy skies and high humidity around 80% limiting daytime solar heating. Recent developments include a drop from 31°C on May 11 to 26°C on May 13 due to increased cloud cover and light rain, rebounding to 28°C yesterday, consistent with May climatological averages of 26–28°C. Key differentiators hinge on diurnal timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap the peak at 28°C or allow brief clearing for 29°C; official station observations will finalize resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$23,321Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 28°C (36%) and 29°C (37.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport today, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ECMWF model forecasts indicating a peak near 28°C amid mostly cloudy skies and high humidity around 80% limiting daytime solar heating. Recent developments include a drop from 31°C on May 11 to 26°C on May 13 due to increased cloud cover and light rain, rebounding to 28°C yesterday, consistent with May climatological averages of 26–28°C. Key differentiators hinge on diurnal timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap the peak at 28°C or allow brief clearing for 29°C; official station observations will finalize resolution by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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