Latest forecasts from Indonesia’s BMKG and global models place Jakarta’s May 17 maximum near 32–33 °C, splitting trader sentiment between the two leading outcomes. May’s transition into the drier season typically delivers climatological highs of 31–33 °C at Halim Perdanakusuma station, with urban heat-island amplification and afternoon insolation pushing peaks toward the upper end of that range. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on cloud cover and convective timing, introducing the narrow spread now reflected in market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, so any last-minute shift in humidity or shower timing could tip the result between 32 °C and 33 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
33°C 45%
32°C 37%
34°C 10%
31°C 8.2%
$10,658 Wol.
$10,658 Wol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
37%
33°C
45%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 37%
34°C 10%
31°C 8.2%
$10,658 Wol.
$10,658 Wol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
37%
33°C
45%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHLatest forecasts from Indonesia’s BMKG and global models place Jakarta’s May 17 maximum near 32–33 °C, splitting trader sentiment between the two leading outcomes. May’s transition into the drier season typically delivers climatological highs of 31–33 °C at Halim Perdanakusuma station, with urban heat-island amplification and afternoon insolation pushing peaks toward the upper end of that range. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on cloud cover and convective timing, introducing the narrow spread now reflected in market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, so any last-minute shift in humidity or shower timing could tip the result between 32 °C and 33 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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