Met Office forecasts for London City Airport, the market's resolution source, project a maximum temperature of 14°C on May 16 amid largely dry but increasingly cloudy conditions with light rain outbreaks from the west, following a chilly start near 9°C minimum. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 14°C at 44.5% implied probability, driven by recent observations—12°C high on May 14 and 13-14°C trends on May 15 under persistent overcast skies and cooler northerly flows. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread, with 15°C (27.5%) viable if brief sunny intervals enhance daytime heating, though climatological mid-May averages near 17°C remain suppressed by current low-pressure dominance. Hourly observations will finalize resolution, with updates expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 16?
Highest temperature in London on May 16?
14°C 41%
15°C 30%
13°C 16%
16°C 13%
NOWE
$53,516 Wol.
NOWE
$53,516 Wol.
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
16%
14°C
41%
15°C
30%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 41%
15°C 30%
13°C 16%
16°C 13%
NOWE
$53,516 Wol.
NOWE
$53,516 Wol.
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
$17,997 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$3,697 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$4,184 Wol.
2%
13°C
$4,846 Wol.
16%
14°C
$5,065 Wol.
41%
15°C
$4,352 Wol.
30%
16°C
$4,287 Wol.
13%
17°C
$3,052 Wol.
2%
18°C
$2,453 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$1,630 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$2,118 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecasts for London City Airport, the market's resolution source, project a maximum temperature of 14°C on May 16 amid largely dry but increasingly cloudy conditions with light rain outbreaks from the west, following a chilly start near 9°C minimum. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 14°C at 44.5% implied probability, driven by recent observations—12°C high on May 14 and 13-14°C trends on May 15 under persistent overcast skies and cooler northerly flows. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread, with 15°C (27.5%) viable if brief sunny intervals enhance daytime heating, though climatological mid-May averages near 17°C remain suppressed by current low-pressure dominance. Hourly observations will finalize resolution, with updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,516Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecasts for London City Airport, the market's resolution source, project a maximum temperature of 14°C on May 16 amid largely dry but increasingly cloudy conditions with light rain outbreaks from the west, following a chilly start near 9°C minimum. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 14°C at 44.5% implied probability, driven by recent observations—12°C high on May 14 and 13-14°C trends on May 15 under persistent overcast skies and cooler northerly flows. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread, with 15°C (27.5%) viable if brief sunny intervals enhance daytime heating, though climatological mid-May averages near 17°C remain suppressed by current low-pressure dominance. Hourly observations will finalize resolution, with updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$53,516Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts for London City Airport, the market's resolution source, project a maximum temperature of 14°C on May 16 amid largely dry but increasingly cloudy conditions with light rain outbreaks from the west, following a chilly start near 9°C minimum. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 14°C at 44.5% implied probability, driven by recent observations—12°C high on May 14 and 13-14°C trends on May 15 under persistent overcast skies and cooler northerly flows. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread, with 15°C (27.5%) viable if brief sunny intervals enhance daytime heating, though climatological mid-May averages near 17°C remain suppressed by current low-pressure dominance. Hourly observations will finalize resolution, with updates expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania