Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 17°C and 18°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF amid expected persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. Current meteorological guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international outlets projects daytime highs near 19°C under a cool air mass and low-pressure influence, capping peaks below climatological mid-May norms of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon instability—earlier clearing favors 18°C, prolonged overcast 17°C—highlighting inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Evening model updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before the daily maximum, typically mid-afternoon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
17°C 35%
18°C 32%
16°C 15%
19°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
15%
17°C
35%
18°C
32%
19°C
12%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 35%
18°C 32%
16°C 15%
19°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
$307 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$411 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$219 Wol.
1%
14°C
$256 Wol.
1%
15°C
$302 Wol.
2%
16°C
$493 Wol.
15%
17°C
$462 Wol.
35%
18°C
$412 Wol.
32%
19°C
$267 Wol.
12%
20°C
$910 Wol.
4%
21°C or higher
$885 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 17°C and 18°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF amid expected persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. Current meteorological guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international outlets projects daytime highs near 19°C under a cool air mass and low-pressure influence, capping peaks below climatological mid-May norms of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon instability—earlier clearing favors 18°C, prolonged overcast 17°C—highlighting inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Evening model updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before the daily maximum, typically mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,925Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 17°C and 18°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF amid expected persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. Current meteorological guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international outlets projects daytime highs near 19°C under a cool air mass and low-pressure influence, capping peaks below climatological mid-May norms of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon instability—earlier clearing favors 18°C, prolonged overcast 17°C—highlighting inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Evening model updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before the daily maximum, typically mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$4,925Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 17°C and 18°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF amid expected persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. Current meteorological guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international outlets projects daytime highs near 19°C under a cool air mass and low-pressure influence, capping peaks below climatological mid-May norms of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon instability—earlier clearing favors 18°C, prolonged overcast 17°C—highlighting inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Evening model updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before the daily maximum, typically mid-afternoon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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