India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts, updated May 14, project Lucknow's highest temperature on May 16 at precisely 40°C under mainly clear skies and light winds, underpinning the 96% market-implied probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus reflects this authoritative guidance. Recent observations show a gradual rise—37.3°C maximum on May 14, below seasonal norms—with persistent dry conditions and regional heat wave warnings for Uttar Pradesh reinforcing model outputs from IMD's numerical weather prediction systems. May climatology supports averages near 40°C, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or drier air masses boosting solar heating to 41-42°C, but daily IMD advisories through May 16 and the official Lucknow Airport measurement will clarify resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 96.2%
42°C 2.1%
43°C 1.4%
44°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
41°C or below
96%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 96.2%
42°C 2.1%
43°C 1.4%
44°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
41°C or below
$1,121 Wol.
96%
42°C
$950 Wol.
2%
43°C
$442 Wol.
1%
44°C
$382 Wol.
1%
45°C
$1,288 Wol.
1%
46°C
$2,008 Wol.
<1%
47°C
$573 Wol.
<1%
48°C
$870 Wol.
<1%
49°C
$881 Wol.
<1%
50°C
$457 Wol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$786 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts, updated May 14, project Lucknow's highest temperature on May 16 at precisely 40°C under mainly clear skies and light winds, underpinning the 96% market-implied probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus reflects this authoritative guidance. Recent observations show a gradual rise—37.3°C maximum on May 14, below seasonal norms—with persistent dry conditions and regional heat wave warnings for Uttar Pradesh reinforcing model outputs from IMD's numerical weather prediction systems. May climatology supports averages near 40°C, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or drier air masses boosting solar heating to 41-42°C, but daily IMD advisories through May 16 and the official Lucknow Airport measurement will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,757Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts, updated May 14, project Lucknow's highest temperature on May 16 at precisely 40°C under mainly clear skies and light winds, underpinning the 96% market-implied probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus reflects this authoritative guidance. Recent observations show a gradual rise—37.3°C maximum on May 14, below seasonal norms—with persistent dry conditions and regional heat wave warnings for Uttar Pradesh reinforcing model outputs from IMD's numerical weather prediction systems. May climatology supports averages near 40°C, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or drier air masses boosting solar heating to 41-42°C, but daily IMD advisories through May 16 and the official Lucknow Airport measurement will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$9,757Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts, updated May 14, project Lucknow's highest temperature on May 16 at precisely 40°C under mainly clear skies and light winds, underpinning the 96% market-implied probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus reflects this authoritative guidance. Recent observations show a gradual rise—37.3°C maximum on May 14, below seasonal norms—with persistent dry conditions and regional heat wave warnings for Uttar Pradesh reinforcing model outputs from IMD's numerical weather prediction systems. May climatology supports averages near 40°C, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or drier air masses boosting solar heating to 41-42°C, but daily IMD advisories through May 16 and the official Lucknow Airport measurement will clarify resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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