Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast pins today's maximum temperature at 27°C, driving trader consensus to a 99.1% implied probability amid a trough of low pressure ushering heavy thundershowers and widespread cloud cover that suppress daytime solar heating. Early morning observations at the Observatory station recorded 26°C with 87% relative humidity, consistent with high moisture levels fueling convective activity and limiting temperatures below May's climatological average of around 29°C—yesterday peaked at 29°C before the trough arrived. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports persistent showers through afternoon, with resolution based on official King's Park readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing for enhanced insolation to push 28°C, though current radar shows embedded thunderstorms reducing this likelihood; monitor HKO hourly nowcasts for shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
19°C or below <1%
$203,118 Wol.
$203,118 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
19°C or below <1%
$203,118 Wol.
$203,118 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,197 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,451 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$3,588 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$2,984 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$26,900 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$63,852 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$41,706 Wol.
100%
28°C
$24,336 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$29,175 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast pins today's maximum temperature at 27°C, driving trader consensus to a 99.1% implied probability amid a trough of low pressure ushering heavy thundershowers and widespread cloud cover that suppress daytime solar heating. Early morning observations at the Observatory station recorded 26°C with 87% relative humidity, consistent with high moisture levels fueling convective activity and limiting temperatures below May's climatological average of around 29°C—yesterday peaked at 29°C before the trough arrived. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports persistent showers through afternoon, with resolution based on official King's Park readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing for enhanced insolation to push 28°C, though current radar shows embedded thunderstorms reducing this likelihood; monitor HKO hourly nowcasts for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$203,118Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast pins today's maximum temperature at 27°C, driving trader consensus to a 99.1% implied probability amid a trough of low pressure ushering heavy thundershowers and widespread cloud cover that suppress daytime solar heating. Early morning observations at the Observatory station recorded 26°C with 87% relative humidity, consistent with high moisture levels fueling convective activity and limiting temperatures below May's climatological average of around 29°C—yesterday peaked at 29°C before the trough arrived. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports persistent showers through afternoon, with resolution based on official King's Park readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing for enhanced insolation to push 28°C, though current radar shows embedded thunderstorms reducing this likelihood; monitor HKO hourly nowcasts for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$203,118Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast pins today's maximum temperature at 27°C, driving trader consensus to a 99.1% implied probability amid a trough of low pressure ushering heavy thundershowers and widespread cloud cover that suppress daytime solar heating. Early morning observations at the Observatory station recorded 26°C with 87% relative humidity, consistent with high moisture levels fueling convective activity and limiting temperatures below May's climatological average of around 29°C—yesterday peaked at 29°C before the trough arrived. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports persistent showers through afternoon, with resolution based on official King's Park readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing for enhanced insolation to push 28°C, though current radar shows embedded thunderstorms reducing this likelihood; monitor HKO hourly nowcasts for shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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